Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa92dbaa70f5212b77433efc7fa3780cf295ea4c43cb59ad84e514cf1463e62c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Belgium, Tunisia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Belgium | 50c | 1,984$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.38 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tunisia | 59c | 1,460$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Belgium | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Tunisia | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tunisia | 49c | 765.1$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Belgium | 69c | 593.59$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tunisia | 73c | 502.21$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.63 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Tunisia | 60c | 500.63$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Belgium | 28c | 450$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Belgium | 52c | 448.64$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.77 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Belgium | 26c | 328.39$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Tunisia | 60c | 326.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Tunisia | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Tunisia | 74c | 300.05$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Tunisia | 75c | 271.19$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Belgium | 40c | 246.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Belgium | 49c | 202$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Belgium | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Belgium | 51c | 187.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Belgium | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Belgium | 25c | 160.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…c0c1backed Belgium | 32c | 157.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Belgium | 31c | 151.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Belgium | 29c | 149.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Belgium | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Belgium | 68c | 147.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Belgium | 38c | 118$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Tunisia | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Tunisia | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Tunisia | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 281 | 64.1%180 W · 101 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tunisia | 71c | 99.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Belgium | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tunisia | 49c | 87.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Tunisia | 80c | 68.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Belgium | 53c | 68.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Tunisia | 72c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Belgium | 52c | 57.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tunisia | 72c | 50.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tunisia | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Belgium | 31c | 40.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Tunisia | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Belgium | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Belgium | 67c | 30.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Tunisia | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tunisia | 74c | 28.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Belgium | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Tunisia | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Tunisia | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…23d0backed Tunisia | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Tunisia | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked Tunisia | 53c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Tunisia | 75c | 14.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Tunisia | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)this page
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Tunisia (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.