MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3b7d8a00cd16eafa259072e1aa61e81e4cd48933ab49522a9ee0fb38770eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,520,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,486,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,520,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 719 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Mariners | 47c | 1,248,814$591,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657,523.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Mariners | 48c | 704,608$335,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369,246.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 47c | 514,503$239,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,497.17 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blue Jays | 52c | 255,352$133,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,846.26 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Mariners | 78c | 212,834$166,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,950.64 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 43c | 182,782$78,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,382.41 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 167,053$89,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,290.63 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 124,595$67,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,483.16 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 90,000$47,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,300 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Mariners | 60c | 87,906$52,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,267.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Blue Jays | 57c | 78,390$44,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,554.17 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 40c | 75,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,999.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Blue Jays | 54c | 70,538$38,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,339.43 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Blue Jays | 49c | 68,429$33,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,488.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 59,320$31,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,547.28 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Blue Jays | 9c | 45,350$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.65 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jays | 30c | 41,839$12,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,733.64 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Blue Jays | 9c | 37,667$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Blue Jays | 53c | 35,265$18,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,614.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 53c | 34,746$18,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,576.55 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…d1c4backed Blue Jays | 52c | 28,846$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 28,152$14,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,534.32 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Blue Jays | 42c | 27,048$11,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,393.74 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 59c | 25,000$14,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,786.21 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 24,344$12,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,660.09 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Mariners | 49c | 21,920$10,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,179.42 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 20,994$11,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,135.33 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Blue Jays | 20c | 20,507$4,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.34 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 19,008$10,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,074.07 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Mariners | 44c | 18,755$8,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.27 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 22c | 18,128$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 52c | 17,790$9,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,276.49 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 14,892$6,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,870.79 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jays | 55c | 14,270$7,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,801.06 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 55c | 14,036$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,673.83 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Blue Jays | 8c | 12,544$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.5 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Blue Jays | 2c | 12,000$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Blue Jays | 55c | 11,520$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,375.38 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…9aaabacked Mariners | 45c | 11,400$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 58c | 11,161$6,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,424.46 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…2bf3backed Mariners | 45c | 10,791$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,924.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…27c0backed Mariners | 46c | 10,487$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,665.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5491…ef09backed Blue Jays | 56c | 10,400$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,824 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…02d7backed Blue Jays | 56c | 10,200$5,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 57c | 10,000$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.14 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Blue Jays | 57c | 9,940$5,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,638.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Mariners | 42c | 8,611$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 36c | 8,591$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.08 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Mariners | 60c | 8,380$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Blue Jays | 52c | 8,320$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.4 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 8,216$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.02 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…6be2backed Blue Jays | 53c | 8,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 7,938$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.7 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blue Jays | 48c | 7,850$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.34 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Blue Jays | 52c | 7,632$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,125 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Mariners | 57c | 7,056$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Blue Jays | 57c | 7,000$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mariners | 45c | 6,924$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.46 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…fe79backed Mariners | 44c | 6,795$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c6…1f80backed Mariners | 45c | 6,670$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…27eebacked Mariners | 45c | 6,400$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 48c | 6,336$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.86 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays | 1c | 6,050$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Blue Jays | 55c | 5,969$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mariners | 39c | 5,502$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.17 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Mariners | 45c | 5,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…95ccbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 5,431$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…65b9backed Mariners | 47c | 5,423$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jays | 33c | 5,364$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.18 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 49c | 5,338$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.41 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…4ae4backed Blue Jays | 56c | 5,285$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…b467backed Blue Jays | 56c | 5,285$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Blue Jays | 1c | 5,222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…2a35backed Blue Jays | 56c | 5,170$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 31c | 5,012$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Mariners | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Blue Jays | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 4,788$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Blue Jays | 53c | 4,770$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.1 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 53c | 4,549$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…4c15backed Blue Jays | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 53c | 4,384$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.34 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…0649backed Mariners | 45c | 4,200$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…56b9backed Blue Jays | 56c | 4,125$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 30c | 3,996$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Blue Jays | 23c | 3,604$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.3 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…878fbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 29c | 3,497$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays | 61c | 3,219$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.7 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Blue Jays | 57c | 3,116$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Blue Jays | 52c | 3,080$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.61 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 37c | 3,010$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.83 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…3cbebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 3c | 2,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Mariners | 38c | 2,996$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.9 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.