TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Pistons, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,181,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,181,780 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors57c127,959$72,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,529.9966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons59c127,119$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Pistons59c105,039$61,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,972.7417646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors41c103,734$42,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,129.021,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors41c100,000$41,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,00043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pistons59c84,745$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.5543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Raptors41c82,110$33,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,611.461,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Raptors33c46,212$15,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,961.9211737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Raptors40c40,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,999.9340446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Pistons61c37,401$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,00052760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors48c36,583$17,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,012.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors41c32,479$13,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,320.664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors41c32,080$13,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,967.051,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Pistons47c30,508$14,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,19613544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pistons45c30,119$13,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,452.820744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons26c29,459$7,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,617.191,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons60c28,749$17,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,281.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors60c27,683$16,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,040.631,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Pistons4c26,890$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.155516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pistons61c26,240$15,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,978.4434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Pistons11c25,905$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.118225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors41c19,650$8,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,595.011,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons62c18,424$11,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,427.6556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a7…a593backed Pistons0c17,500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors42c16,159$6,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,426.131,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Raptors39c16,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Raptors54c14,640$7,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,734.5842348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors58c13,336$7,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,565.253,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Raptors38c13,000$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,059.9932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked Pistons41c11,541$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,766.783961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Raptors62c11,311$7,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.8119388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Pistons30c11,171$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4001844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pistons61c11,104$6,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,773.4419645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons6c10,941$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.341,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b8d…44b1backed Pistons12c10,678$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.9819457.2%111 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Raptors41c10,188$4,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,010.8935251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Pistons60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9920454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors46c9,997$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,351.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Raptors39c9,875$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,993.6986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Pistons61c9,800$5,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9785032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Raptors39c9,800$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,977.964551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Pistons60c9,648$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80062652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons60c8,829$5,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,291.082,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Pistons59c8,429$4,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.2110352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Pistons61c8,197$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors39c7,878$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,793.044,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Raptors39c7,296$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,450.6840350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raptors49c7,258$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.782,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons51c7,068$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.723,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Pistons12c7,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pistons0c7,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Raptors31c6,717$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,634.6318518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…b277backed Raptors42c6,468$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.691861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Raptors54c6,405$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.1726353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors69c6,101$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.461,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Pistons45c6,025$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6827864.1%50 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Pistons49c5,984$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.2989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Pistons9c5,705$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.1826131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pistons55c5,599$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,097.4876850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Pistons5c5,555$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.641435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+149.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pistons44c5,312$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.4681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Raptors39c5,200$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.9543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Pistons39c5,192$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.0934852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Raptors40c5,000$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,983.1725947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Raptors39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.9387750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Raptors39c4,849$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.5365939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Pistons64c4,669$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.657561.3%46 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49a3…91bbbacked Raptors39c4,650$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.486347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Pistons59c4,576$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7007133.8%24 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Raptors40c4,575$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,731.122637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe509…4245backed Raptors54c4,499$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.1810653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons61c4,294$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.391,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Raptors39c4,242$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.8223147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7a…1a42backed Raptors40c4,229$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+88.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Raptors41c4,200$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.969838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons18c4,100$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fd…d4d6backed Raptors39c4,088$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Raptors48c4,057$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.8327865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Pistons61c4,055$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,472.9627247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc364…c413backed Pistons61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4401662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f86…e539backed Raptors40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pistons60c4,000$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.0248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…3e3abacked Raptors62c3,973$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.842479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Raptors37c3,870$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.3224252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons23c3,853$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.4836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pistons48c3,618$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.8862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons67c3,592$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.463,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Raptors42c3,571$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.4356453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Raptors40c3,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1006943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Pistons60c3,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.983847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d98…e98bbacked Raptors39c3,300$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d6…5e2dbacked Pistons61c3,300$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1984…3b6cbacked Pistons60c3,300$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Raptors41c3,259$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.5627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…a34bbacked Pistons61c3,230$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9702958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Raptors36c3,217$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.185844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Pistons60c3,167$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90024151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Raptors33c3,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.973946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Raptors40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8003745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.