TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$393,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd64…7445backed Over53c46,000$24,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,6203366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x15fb…83e1backed Over53c22,236$11,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed32…bc12backed Over53c20,902$11,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,823.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb14a…0abfbacked Over53c19,996$10,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,398.124100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b8…e630backed Over53c19,672$10,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,245.845100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd728…800cbacked Under47c19,658$9,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,239.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34de…16b0backed Under47c19,058$8,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,957.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf50a…87e9backed Under47c17,170$8,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,069.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43de…4448backed Over53c17,107$9,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,040.295100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f61…22c5backed Over53c17,095$9,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,034.654100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71a6…30ebbacked Over53c16,989$9,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,984.834100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ea…cd93backed Over53c16,271$8,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,647.374100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4374…8a7cbacked Under47c15,951$7,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,496.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b8…0268backed Under47c15,860$7,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,454.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbef…6a89backed Over53c15,800$8,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4265100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa962…42b0backed Under47c14,247$6,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,696.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1664…8030backed Under47c13,977$6,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,569.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa285…540cbacked Over53c13,791$7,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,481.774100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b5…0296backed Under47c12,788$6,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,010.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8295…b450backed Over53c12,466$6,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,859.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc287…806ebacked Under47c11,770$5,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,531.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d2…3d67backed Under47c11,196$5,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,262.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb471…4c43backed Over53c11,155$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,242.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b95…0880backed Over53c10,353$5,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bdc…d4fbbacked Over53c9,708$5,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe995…61d2backed Over53c9,658$5,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,539.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4185…8eeebacked Over53c9,436$5,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x493f…d019backed Over53c8,313$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,907.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34ec…fd99backed Over53c8,019$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,768.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…3eb2backed Over53c6,945$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x693c…39f2backed Over53c6,850$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4f…64c1backed Over53c5,985$3,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2d6…3bbebacked Over53c5,588$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba74…468bbacked Over53c5,564$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d30…32bcbacked Under47c5,234$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe098…a77fbacked Under47c5,163$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e8…2f67backed Under47c5,047$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1731…bdb0backed Under47c5,045$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3366…3231backed Under47c5,013$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.984456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb76…5269backed Under47c4,661$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c4,660$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…58e5backed Under47c4,657$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…51efbacked Under47c4,574$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ae…edbfbacked Under47c4,553$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fc…fed7backed Under47c4,207$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a64…9b5dbacked Under47c4,026$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c9…9676backed Over53c3,822$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c3,686$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x009a…ab34backed Under47c3,264$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6f…afa6backed Over53c3,155$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b5…7bc8backed Over53c3,133$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0abc…e46fbacked Over53c3,122$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2a…7103backed Over53c2,998$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a4b…cb7bbacked Under47c2,883$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cc…2ebfbacked Over53c2,875$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf97c…994bbacked Under47c2,791$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389c…e128backed Over53c2,754$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…bf75backed Over53c2,753$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc810…cb45backed Under47c2,746$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb3…34b1backed Under47c2,723$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5c…4180backed Under47c2,717$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x296f…cc55backed Under47c2,668$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f89…66a2backed Under47c2,611$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0883…fee3backed Under47c2,581$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b0…9280backed Under47c2,559$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ac…67dabacked Under47c2,544$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…980cbacked Under47c2,524$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ff…9e81backed Under47c2,492$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602b…3178backed Under47c2,491$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9df…6d48backed Under47c2,468$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e0…2359backed Under47c2,449$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6605…8925backed Under47c2,446$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a9…54c0backed Under47c2,441$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5757…2067backed Under47c2,432$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…fd9fbacked Under47c2,396$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e9…df94backed Under47c2,393$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ed…c512backed Under47c2,377$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0216…5093backed Under47c2,359$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…e1edbacked Under47c2,353$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb365…cc22backed Under47c2,309$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b1…2f07backed Under47c2,300$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick47cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f01…97c0backed Under47c2,290$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c2,287$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3305…36c1backed Under47c2,280$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…81fabacked Under47c2,234$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b1…227abacked Under47c2,204$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c4…6c30backed Under47c2,189$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe028…517abacked Under47c2,187$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d58…e836backed Under47c2,164$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd342…d49dbacked Under47c2,133$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eff…33c9backed Under47c2,110$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3292…7cedbacked Under47c2,103$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f0…ddd9backed Under47c2,036$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6791…b867backed Under47c2,030$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.1650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd563…e5f3backed Under47c2,021$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe554…b0afbacked Under47c2,001$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…3e76backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6c…0702backed Under47c1,999$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ed…0658backed Under47c1,928$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.