NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb54b1d71a0847abcdd45141414dfcac1fae45c9bda5d60a53b8bbce7c4341a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,010 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 3,697$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 2,923$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 1,068$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 32c | 677.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.11 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 650.92$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.07 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 615.61$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…b98ebacked Over | 68c | 606.54$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 36c | 505.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 56c | 372.92$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 55c | 353.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 42c | 340$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 239.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Under | 42c | 216.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 18c | 202.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 25c | 174.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 147.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 76c | 132.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…7d36backed Over | 58c | 125.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 115.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 53c | 112.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 45c | 110.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 107.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 22c | 102.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…94bcbacked Over | 64c | 93.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 64c | 71.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 58c | 47.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…270fbacked Over | 63c | 47.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 63c | 45.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 74c | 44.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 45c | 43.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 43c | 41.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 80c | 39.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 64c | 32.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 31.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 59c | 27.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 57c | 27.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 45c | 25.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 22.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 57c | 22.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…98f7backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 77c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…0f0ebacked Over | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Over | 80c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.