TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Pistons, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,211 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons44c61,174$26,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,916.5187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors56c60,031$33,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,413.787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Raptors56c27,179$15,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,958.912,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons44c27,160$11,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,950.41,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Raptors53c15,609$8,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,336.4217250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Raptors54c13,413$7,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,169.871,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5a…613dbacked Pistons47c10,938$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,141757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Pistons44c10,909$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8004535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pistons47c10,851$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9138750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Pistons44c8,950$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,93835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors56c7,286$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.961,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Pistons44c6,265$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors54c6,150$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Raptors54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7608153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons44c5,745$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Raptors53c5,500$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e57…e180backed Pistons47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.961,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons46c4,390$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Raptors53c2,890$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.314245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons45c2,686$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons47c2,387$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Raptors52c2,303$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.7264651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Pistons46c2,178$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons46c2,082$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4526…4e5abacked Raptors53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pistons45c1,940$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.2534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Pistons47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79916953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…adfabacked Raptors53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…dbbebacked Raptors53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors56c1,391$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.551,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors54c1,283$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.963,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Pistons44c1,051$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5715147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Pistons43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4308143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors54c993$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.785,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Raptors54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9312740.9%52 W · 75 L-15.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons44c866$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pistons47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pistons47c634$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.981,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons42c595.55$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.668,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb451…37f3backed Raptors64c543$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1931838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons46c541.82$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.382,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Raptors52c518.27$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2728838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors54c434.18$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.722,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons46c421.69$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.572,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Raptors57c369.68$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons47c362$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.142,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons47c339.57$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.61,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pistons46c331$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Pistons47c312.87$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.054854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Pistons47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14113858%80 W · 58 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Pistons47c297.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Pistons46c272.35$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Pistons47c255.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors55c238.66$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.43,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons48c232.9$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.945,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons49c227.04$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Pistons45c226.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9322154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Pistons47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Pistons47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Pistons48c208.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011626.7%31 W · 85 L-16.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Raptors52c200.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Raptors51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Raptors57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9834342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons46c188.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons46c180.82$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Pistons49c178.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5426337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors54c174.01$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0445151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Raptors53c160$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.259144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pistons44c152.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.491,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Raptors53c149.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Raptors54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1581845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Pistons38c138.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Raptors55c123.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6423143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors53c122.47$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.561,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Raptors57c117.65$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5924946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Pistons43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Pistons44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Pistons44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Raptors56c100.08$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0436247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Raptors54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4659650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Raptors57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Pistons36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3635739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Raptors56c96.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6614959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Pistons54c92.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Raptors61c82.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2513953.2%74 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Pistons45c78.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9920847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Raptors60c76.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6829645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa444…75debacked Pistons46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.121921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors53c68.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Raptors57c64.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5413…73aabacked Pistons48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Pistons48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Raptors64c59.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pistons35c59.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Raptors54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5633249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Raptors55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.313954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.