NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45a138254bfd9c342bf6d36972bf7bb49b2c6e236ad71107ec822bbc9c224bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,211 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 44c | 61,174$26,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,916.51 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 56c | 60,031$33,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,413.7 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 56c | 27,179$15,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,958.91 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 44c | 27,160$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,950.4 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Raptors | 53c | 15,609$8,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.42 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raptors | 54c | 13,413$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,169.87 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5a…613dbacked Pistons | 47c | 10,938$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Pistons | 44c | 10,909$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pistons | 47c | 10,851$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.91 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Pistons | 44c | 8,950$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 56c | 7,286$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.96 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pistons | 44c | 6,265$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.6 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors | 54c | 6,150$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Raptors | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 44c | 5,745$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Raptors | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e57…e180backed Pistons | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.96 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 46c | 4,390$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Raptors | 53c | 2,890$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.3 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 45c | 2,686$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,387$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raptors | 52c | 2,303$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.72 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pistons | 46c | 2,178$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 46c | 2,082$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…4e5abacked Raptors | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pistons | 45c | 1,940$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.25 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Pistons | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…adfabacked Raptors | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…dbbebacked Raptors | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 56c | 1,391$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.55 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 54c | 1,283$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Pistons | 44c | 1,051$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.57 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Pistons | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 54c | 993$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Raptors | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 44c | 866$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pistons | 47c | 634$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.98 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 42c | 595.55$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Raptors | 64c | 543$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 46c | 541.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Raptors | 52c | 518.27$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors | 54c | 434.18$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 46c | 421.69$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Raptors | 57c | 369.68$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 47c | 362$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons | 47c | 339.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pistons | 46c | 331$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Pistons | 47c | 312.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Pistons | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Pistons | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pistons | 46c | 272.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Pistons | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 55c | 238.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 48c | 232.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons | 49c | 227.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Pistons | 45c | 226.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Pistons | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Pistons | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Pistons | 48c | 208.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Raptors | 52c | 200.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Raptors | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 46c | 188.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 46c | 180.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Pistons | 49c | 178.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors | 54c | 174.01$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Raptors | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 44c | 152.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Raptors | 53c | 149.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Raptors | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Pistons | 38c | 138.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Raptors | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Raptors | 53c | 122.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Raptors | 57c | 117.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Pistons | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Pistons | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Pistons | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Raptors | 56c | 100.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Raptors | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…f80dbacked Raptors | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Pistons | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Raptors | 56c | 96.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Pistons | 54c | 92.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Raptors | 61c | 82.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Pistons | 45c | 78.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Raptors | 60c | 76.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…75debacked Pistons | 46c | 72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Raptors | 53c | 68.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Raptors | 57c | 64.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…73aabacked Pistons | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Pistons | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Raptors | 64c | 59.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pistons | 35c | 59.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Raptors | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Raptors | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Under won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.