TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,790,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,790,932 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Clippers26c363,506$93,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,857.5248343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Spurs74c261,006$193,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,861.6511955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Clippers26c209,934$54,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,582.7332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85e5…6056backed Spurs75c193,099$144,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,458.62556%14 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Clippers26c192,307$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers28c181,351$51,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,422.971,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Spurs74c139,305$103,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,219.412,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Spurs75c133,333$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,333.3336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Clippers8c112,500$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Clippers12c100,300$11,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,926.474337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Spurs74c100,000$74,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,00087144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs75c86,606$64,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,651.4972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Spurs79c80,992$64,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,862.525567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Clippers24c64,694$15,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,226.9548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers26c55,977$14,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,303.724,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Clippers24c54,475$13,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,065.3641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs74c50,753$37,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,052.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Spurs75c46,940$35,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,881.0520744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Clippers26c42,680$10,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,894.21,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cb…58b4backed Clippers22c41,410$9,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,008.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clippers25c40,425$10,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,246.991,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Clippers26c40,000$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3009018.9%17 W · 73 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Clippers21c37,658$7,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,744.5727247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers24c37,571$9,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,018.561,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Clippers34c36,683$12,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,339.6410239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0072…3d75backed Spurs79c34,360$27,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,154.1714738.1%56 W · 91 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd1…e532backed Spurs71c30,624$21,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,022.473268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Spurs77c29,336$22,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.5962652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Spurs74c26,916$19,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,998.257950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Clippers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb58e…d570backed Spurs76c25,000$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers24c24,996$6,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,045.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Clippers8c24,419$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.268225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs74c23,746$17,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,230.9677348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Spurs75c23,554$17,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,004.058662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Clippers18c23,203$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,100.091,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Spurs65c20,527$13,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,189.638728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs74c20,509$15,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.211,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Spurs72c20,456$14,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,737.988061.3%49 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Clippers6c20,240$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.3350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b4…dc26backed Clippers0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Spurs66c20,000$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8007759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers24c18,402$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.662,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked Spurs75c18,000$13,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.6920839.4%82 W · 126 L-0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Spurs75c17,333$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.3323052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Clippers35c17,217$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.9456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Spurs75c16,000$12,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9405139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x95fa…e551backed Clippers2c15,406$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6431…ab69backed Spurs66c15,000$9,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,127.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Spurs73c14,982$10,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,043.3932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs59c14,623$8,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,023.0942348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs78c13,974$10,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.211,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Clippers2c13,764$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Spurs75c13,190$9,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.2428554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Clippers22c12,800$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8465444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Spurs78c12,800$9,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,845.998441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Clippers24c12,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed Clippers24c12,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8803366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+55.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Clippers1c11,642$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.215213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers26c11,000$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Spurs74c10,303$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.723256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Clippers21c10,291$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.5110225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Clippers27c10,224$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.193863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Spurs78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20042153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x184f…389ebacked Spurs76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4003158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Clippers0c9,560$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.618820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers26c8,894$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.31,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Spurs78c8,675$6,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,908.44057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecef…558abacked Clippers6c8,354$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Spurs76c8,233$6,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.7855346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Clippers23c8,150$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers30c8,086$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Clippers37c8,061$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.2410743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers24c8,012$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.722,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Clippers25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Clippers26c8,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0808939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers34c8,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.9817348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa8…7ea2backed Spurs75c7,967$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.7434554.8%189 W · 156 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Clippers4c7,900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd839…8fc8backed Spurs72c7,882$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.345952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clippers33c7,759$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.065,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Clippers1c7,711$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.363179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers25c7,613$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,903.32,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Spurs74c7,340$5,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.62,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Spurs75c7,244$5,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.9461851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4b…bb93backed Spurs66c7,200$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4489354.8%51 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Spurs75c7,173$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.233148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Spurs74c7,061$5,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.772060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Spurs75c7,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7506550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x347d…0b64backed Spurs74c6,730$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.353250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Clippers13c6,699$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.836023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2c…98f8backed Clippers3c6,678$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Clippers1c6,512$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.078783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Spurs71c6,500$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91014245.1%64 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a0a…ca20backed Clippers33c6,269$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.71931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Spurs75c6,170$4,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.8376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Spurs73c6,086$4,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.3210641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs74c6,081$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.0843352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Clippers7c6,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Clippers30c5,921$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.3630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.