NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4eec812d27dbfd584d35cb9cb7a7d33958a4320eef770ac378f151ef986dde8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,717 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 5c | 39,021$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…f0dabacked Over | 1c | 4,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 2,221$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.5 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,392$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Over | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 693.19$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.98 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Under | 30c | 489.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 27cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 445.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 74c | 425$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 401.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.73 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 20c | 398.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Under | 52c | 385.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 54c | 340.32$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 60c | 334$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 40c | 334$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…fd65backed Over | 60c | 320.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Under | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 278.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 49c | 211$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +6.8wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 52c | 191.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 23c | 147.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 43c | 110.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 55c | 104.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +9.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +291%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 52c | 94.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 39c | 93.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 51c | 88.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Under | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 46c | 62.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 35c | 60.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 55.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Under | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Under | 58c | 51.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Under | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…7a80backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…0991backed Over | 66c | 36.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 34.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 52c | 34.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…b348backed Under | 53c | 33.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 66c | 28.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 80c | 12.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- John Collins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Clippers won
- Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.