NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x285ab7cb2733e4b12c07db6e3158843c42bcd6041592c2d1fa2f7e6cdbd381ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,076 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 6,132$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.57 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 3,166$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 55c | 1,573$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.3 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 1,332$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.06 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 44c | 819.09$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.11 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 802.9$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.25 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Over | 54c | 749.96$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…3953backed Under | 49c | 632.65$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 471.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…0822backed Under | 56c | 458.2$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 446.57$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 51c | 392.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.25 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 51c | 384.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 45c | 369.56$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 50c | 330.06$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 55c | 300$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 46c | 269.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 268$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 264.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 57c | 241.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 43c | 191.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.17 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 49c | 157.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…c7bebacked Over | 64c | 133.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 55c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 53c | 121.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Over | 54c | 111.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 56c | 95.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 48c | 95.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 93.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 45c | 86.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 44c | 76.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 46c | 74.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 60c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 57c | 72.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…7defbacked Under | 34c | 72.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…0991backed Over | 61c | 65.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Under | 45c | 56.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 27c | 54.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 48.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…3b8bbacked Over | 56c | 38.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 41c | 36.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…a918backed Under | 37c | 33.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Under | 52c | 30.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 60c | 29.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…72bebacked Under | 45c | 29.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 54c | 27.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 43c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 57c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Under | 44c | 25.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Under | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…98d5backed Over | 77c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- John Collins: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Clippers won
- Spurs vs. ClippersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.