NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x246fe77f21c515c84350c40ef9d714b8fea18e7b1fd29bff5801c78c99563013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Jets, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $825,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $825,431 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Penguins | 60c | 287,086$172,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,834.35 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Jets | 40c | 200,000$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,999.99 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Penguins | 60c | 116,861$69,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,301.76 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Jets | 39c | 108,606$42,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,354.82 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jets | 40c | 32,609$13,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,043.69 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jets | 40c | 29,414$11,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,767.26 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Penguins | 55c | 25,329$13,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,378.19 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Jets | 26c | 24,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.92 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 75c | 22,444$16,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.74 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Jets | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Jets | 41c | 12,500$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Penguins | 57c | 11,038$6,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked Penguins | 59c | 10,168$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Penguins | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…7642backed Penguins | 74c | 9,648$7,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Jets | 40c | 9,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets | 40c | 8,014$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.92 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Jets | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Jets | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 73c | 7,761$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.26 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 58c | 6,584$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.13 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Penguins | 60c | 6,067$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.17 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Jets | 40c | 5,968$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.65 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Jets | 41c | 5,590$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.76 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jets | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Jets | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Jets | 41c | 4,000$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 59c | 3,955$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.39 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Penguins | 59c | 3,808$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.28 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 29c | 3,705$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 33c | 3,513$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.34 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Jets | 40c | 3,500$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.66 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jets | 40c | 3,467$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jets | 59c | 3,291$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.73 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Jets | 40c | 3,222$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.02 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Jets | 40c | 3,000$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.53 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Jets | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Jets | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jets | 41c | 2,903$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.55 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Jets | 29c | 2,892$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.41 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…2c92backed Penguins | 58c | 2,881$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Penguins | 20c | 2,756$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Penguins | 78c | 2,705$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.16 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…49b5backed Penguins | 59c | 2,637$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Penguins | 46c | 2,540$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.46 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…e49ebacked Jets | 41c | 2,533$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jets | 40c | 2,507$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.83 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Jets | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…5445backed Jets | 41c | 2,465$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Jets | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins | 60c | 2,407$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.67 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…d3e2backed Jets | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…b4dabacked Penguins | 59c | 2,361$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Jets | 40c | 2,222$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.79 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 49c | 2,121$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jets | 40c | 2,045$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.97 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Penguins | 64c | 2,042$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…93bfbacked Jets | 1c | 2,037$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Jets | 40c | 2,015$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.92 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jets | 41c | 2,015$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.27 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Penguins | 59c | 2,008$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.28 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Jets | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Jets | 41c | 2,000$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Penguins | 76c | 1,964$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Penguins | 61c | 1,877$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Penguins | 29c | 1,753$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.74 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Jets | 69c | 1,699$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.9 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Penguins | 59c | 1,691$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.08 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked Penguins | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jets | 40c | 1,615$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.94 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 27c | 1,576$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.03 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Jets | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jets | 39c | 1,473$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Penguins | 58c | 1,473$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.48 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Penguins | 60c | 1,438$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Penguins | 60c | 1,399$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.6 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Penguins | 59c | 1,392$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.53 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Penguins | 57c | 1,368$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jets | 66c | 1,341$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.69 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 49c | 1,303$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Jets | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…bebfbacked Penguins | 59c | 1,195$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…c0ddbacked Penguins | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Penguins | 60c | 1,178$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jets | 28c | 1,144$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.35 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Jets | 39c | 1,130$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.1 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Jets | 41c | 1,067$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.47 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Penguins | 57c | 1,020$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.16 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Penguins | 60c | 1,004$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Penguins | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Penguins | 60c | 999$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jets | 30c | 854.56$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.26 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Penguins | 59c | 853.54$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.77 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Penguins | 59c | 850$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Penguins | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Penguins | 62c | 799.98$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Penguins | 61c | 788.65$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Penguinsthis page
- Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.