NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7e6fb2e4341742d8de5f1ad75cf0ff3c02554c12d9f56498e15ac19ce23f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $535,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 404,333$197,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,414.66 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 159,590$81,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,376.97 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 92,303$47,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,074.39 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 51c | 60,359$30,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,981.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 53,742$27,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,408.56 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 48c | 20,014$9,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,407.55 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.06 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Under | 51c | 9,073$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 6,095$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.21 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Under | 51c | 5,880$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 3,491$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.07 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…46c9backed Under | 53c | 3,114$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under | 52c | 2,021$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 26c | 2,000$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 51c | 1,953$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.03 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 1,608$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.32 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 48c | 1,502$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.41 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 1,475$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.43 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 1,320$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.55 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 51c | 999.95$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 48c | 990$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 982.19$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.47 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 51c | 980.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…9723backed Under | 52c | 979.89$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 49c | 957.13$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.94 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 55c | 950$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 945$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.1 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 1c | 925$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 52c | 787$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.24 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 704.7$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 699.96$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.98 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 49c | 664.66$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.94 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 586$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 540.03$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.91 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 419.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.59 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 360.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Under | 50c | 326.45$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 54c | 315.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 302.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Over | 49c | 288$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 281$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.12 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…4925backed Over | 49c | 261.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 232.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 52c | 207$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 204.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 57c | 198.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 53c | 186.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 49c | 186.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 48c | 169.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…fadfbacked Under | 55c | 165.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 155.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 59c | 154.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 49c | 139.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 51c | 136.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 50c | 134.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 48c | 133.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 51c | 125.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 48c | 120.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 52c | 118.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 50c | 117.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 52c | 113.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 36c | 112$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 48c | 104.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…6031backed Under | 52c | 101.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 53c | 90.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 48c | 87.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Under | 52c | 87.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Over | 49c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under | 51c | 81.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…c12ebacked Over | 49c | 77.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 53c | 76.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…05babacked Over | 47c | 75.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…75abbacked Over | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 71.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 76c | 67.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…136cbacked Under | 51c | 64.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Over | 49c | 63.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…b634backed Over | 50c | 62.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Over | 49c | 60.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.