TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,523,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,523,526 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 777 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors73c386,444$283,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,369.3466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls27c340,169$91,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,829.1187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bulls27c185,185$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.9543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Raptors73c100,000$73,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,999.911955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Bulls3c74,266$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1755…5aacbacked Raptors73c72,675$53,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,622.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors73c43,343$31,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,668.544,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls26c28,667$7,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,453.4632540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Raptors74c25,857$19,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.782,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Bulls26c23,348$6,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,070.5339842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Raptors76c23,137$17,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,521.720744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Raptors73c21,028$15,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,677.565959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Bulls27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4005030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Bulls28c18,105$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Raptors73c18,023$13,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,881.6134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Raptors72c16,143$11,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,520.0734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors73c15,745$11,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,251.021,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls18c12,878$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.431,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Bulls2c12,705$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3914663.7%93 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bulls27c11,012$2,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.2841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Bulls0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70023257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5b…8e29backed Raptors74c9,547$7,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.223063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bulls26c9,500$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.9686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Raptors73c9,085$6,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.0620355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Bulls26c8,700$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2624940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Raptors74c8,700$6,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.993438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bulls26c8,000$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.9565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bulls26c7,600$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Raptors74c7,400$5,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9248441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Bulls26c7,400$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.964445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f3…b430backed Bulls29c6,475$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.895238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Bulls18c6,250$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.810743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Bulls12c6,242$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors73c5,839$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.452,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bulls15c5,591$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.749629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bulls27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35025947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Bulls25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Raptors73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.975658.9%33 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Raptors78c4,756$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.1327865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Bulls27c4,563$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.8871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls0c4,266$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.858820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls1c4,137$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.257211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Bulls27c4,110$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.577948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls27c4,100$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1071,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Raptors74c4,054$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.0556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Bulls27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Bulls28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors75c3,865$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.331,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Bulls26c3,847$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bulls27c3,705$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3524549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa31…924fbacked Raptors74c3,601$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.262070%14 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcaff…f689backed Bulls26c3,600$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9362231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0480…0a91backed Bulls29c3,500$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.65450%27 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors73c3,452$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.031,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors73c3,447$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.812,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls17c3,413$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bulls14c3,272$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.391,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Bulls27c3,232$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.6427247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Raptors64c3,178$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.5235547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a3…91bbbacked Bulls27c3,100$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8376347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Raptors66c3,090$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.2939349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Bulls35c3,000$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.1529250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x421e…81bcbacked Raptors73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8106139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6871…5befbacked Bulls27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b5…4849backed Raptors73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.995455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Bulls27c2,863$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.0442352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls27c2,791$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Bulls15c2,749$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2719434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls20c2,667$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b55…cde3backed Bulls33c2,654$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.698151.9%42 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Bulls27c2,606$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.6624841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls32c2,565$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.014,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bulls27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6751,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Bulls9c2,245$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20134136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Bulls27c2,243$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.4918648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls1c2,205$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.258783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…7b83backed Bulls2c2,119$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1811420.2%23 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Raptors74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0341954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Raptors73c1,955$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6455346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Bulls27c1,941$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2fe…e55cbacked Raptors74c1,912$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.124858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…6b78backed Bulls27c1,912$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Bulls29c1,864$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.63644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Bulls29c1,833$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.5717141.5%71 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bulls26c1,800$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46268944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bulls28c1,676$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.1316440.9%67 W · 97 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Bulls30c1,627$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.482962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+80.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bulls26c1,508$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.311,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls12c1,498$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.885,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ba…1c2bbacked Raptors74c1,432$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767c…9aadbacked Bulls29c1,414$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fd7…cc41backed Bulls29c1,409$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Raptors74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5962144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Raptors74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.357656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Raptors74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3518343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8ef…9676backed Bulls26c1,300$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+49.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls24c1,228$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Raptors73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32478445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Bulls26c1,167$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5118043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.