TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,353 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over58c61,963$36,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,807.1943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under41c38,599$15,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,973.964,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c20,496$8,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,870.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under43c3,744$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.072,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44fc…7961backed Under49c2,057$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.931735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c2,023$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Over51c2,012$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under43c657.88$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.153,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under44c628.52$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.373,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under32c584.3$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.592,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c534.77$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.342,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over53c469.83$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.821,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over53c469.34$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c309.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over59c305$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under47c212.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under45c204.05$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.921,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9023435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Under44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Under44c186.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.733145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under34c183$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.052,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over57c181.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8913554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under29c176.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under42c175$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over53c172.19$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under42c142.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under46c134.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0923651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under42c117$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1413950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over57c116.07$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under46c94.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.420350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under48c89.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under32c80.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.11,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under40c78.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a9…f98ebacked Over77c78.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c71.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.682,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c70.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.853,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under44c61.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over54c59.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under26c59.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6710623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over56c59.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c57.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c56.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.485,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under43c52.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Under42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2169337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0816947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over48c46.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over58c42.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under41c41.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0236154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Under37c36.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.619347.3%44 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under44c36.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over54c36.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7320949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over55c35.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9352552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c35.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.991,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ca…0022backed Over54c35.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.982166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under45c35.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.935540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf525…559dbacked Under43c34.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Over75c34.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.619845.9%45 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9518242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c32.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.534,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0268940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over69c30.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5619434.5%67 W · 127 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.618261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under44c29.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.861,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.283,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over48c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5630840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3612…cf99backed Over55c26.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.846163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Over57c25.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over49c21.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.067948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Over48c20.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6918648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Over52c19.47$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.291136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079c…a211backed Over52c19.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.272661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd650…8d74backed Over60c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28571.8%61 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over78c17.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.753,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x077c…33febacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.