NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a1b325d483fcf1b50cff3e33a42cba4a7e1f6eb1fc3d422a264bc633ca057e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 50c | 32,635$16,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,396.37 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,750 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 15,936$8,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 13,242$7,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,223.91 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 8,571$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 49c | 8,344$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.56 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Under | 50c | 5,419$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 5,412$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 50c | 4,872$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 4,215$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 50c | 3,310$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.87 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 49c | 2,641$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Under | 49c | 2,630$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.87 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…a213backed Over | 48c | 2,542$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 48c | 2,388$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 18c | 1,478$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.83 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,448$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.73 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 1,299$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 32c | 1,286$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 1,237$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.13 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…d9f7backed Under | 52c | 1,107$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 1,089$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Under | 55c | 1,086$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.32 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.87 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 58c | 902.87$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 73c | 885.83$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…1518backed Under | 52c | 793$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 43c | 649.6$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.62 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…14c1backed Under | 52c | 642$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 50c | 586.56$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 572.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Over | 68c | 549.33$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 465.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 47c | 456.85$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.72 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 57c | 449.12$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 427.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 365.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 347.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Over | 51c | 342.22$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 67c | 293.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 275.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 38c | 267.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 61c | 256.78$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 247.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 50c | 239.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 55c | 227.65$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 50c | 220.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 197.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 52c | 194.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed Under | 51c | 186$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 157.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 16c | 156.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 154.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 27c | 144.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 67c | 143.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 30c | 124.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 50c | 112.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 47c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 107.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 49c | 92.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 52c | 85.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Under | 24c | 76.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 61c | 72.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 64c | 62.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 47c | 59.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 50c | 59.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 47c | 58.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Raptors vs. BullsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.