NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d862029b020087181ed0e91e570802818c907b746d59031433d660723aef4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,999 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 67,260$31,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,050.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 66,386$35,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,036.89 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 54c | 27,912$15,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,839.52 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 11,529$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,465.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 8,274$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 6,898$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.98 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 6,538$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.46 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 4,221$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.32 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 2,836$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…d9f7backed Under | 49c | 2,765$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…fc02backed Over | 50c | 2,377$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…3832backed Under | 50c | 2,259$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…939dbacked Over | 50c | 2,209$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc569…7662backed Under | 50c | 2,191$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…f5d3backed Over | 50c | 2,107$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…df92backed Under | 50c | 2,038$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.03 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c9…f2dbbacked Over | 50c | 1,952$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…ce09backed Over | 50c | 1,933$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…cfa1backed Under | 50c | 1,924$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…41e3backed Under | 50c | 1,898$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…8e99backed Over | 50c | 1,890$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…4700backed Over | 50c | 1,852$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c9…73b9backed Under | 50c | 1,816$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…48b5backed Over | 50c | 1,770$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db6…e202backed Under | 50c | 1,688$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e1…fc5abacked Under | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…9db4backed Under | 50c | 1,675$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7725…9a27backed Under | 50c | 1,669$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…82fbbacked Under | 50c | 1,657$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…af6fbacked Under | 50c | 1,653$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…61eebacked Under | 50c | 1,608$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…b548backed Over | 50c | 1,592$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…a587backed Over | 50c | 1,572$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…ffe0backed Over | 50c | 1,506$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…a213backed Over | 51c | 1,483$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 1,477$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…b7d0backed Over | 50c | 1,467$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee3…abb7backed Over | 50c | 1,456$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…995bbacked Over | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…6d90backed Under | 50c | 1,454$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…b34ebacked Over | 50c | 1,436$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…2b61backed Over | 50c | 1,432$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…9d5fbacked Under | 50c | 1,410$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…6fb5backed Over | 50c | 1,399$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 1,378$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.92 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 46c | 1,376$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4401…08fabacked Under | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f66cbacked Over | 50c | 1,325$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…d4abbacked Over | 50c | 1,278$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,256$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 46c | 1,170$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.7 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…86c3backed Over | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…3bc2backed Over | 50c | 1,151$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 45c | 1,133$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 45c | 1,133$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc9…250abacked Under | 50c | 1,127$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 1,105$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…c85fbacked Under | 50c | 1,087$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…f6bdbacked Under | 50c | 1,082$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…93b9backed Over | 50c | 1,063$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…311cbacked Under | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 1,059$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.62 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…669fbacked Under | 50c | 1,034$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bb9fbacked Over | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…72aebacked Over | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2aefbacked Over | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e5…22d8backed Under | 50c | 996$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…8954backed Under | 50c | 976$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 55c | 959.22$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.65 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cc…9308backed Under | 50c | 946$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 932.37$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…eeb5backed Under | 50c | 930$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 51c | 895.63$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.86 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…fb9abacked Over | 50c | 830$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd765…a56ebacked Under | 50c | 829$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 800.89$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…924dbacked Under | 50c | 778$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…9167backed Under | 50c | 760$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…1518backed Over | 51c | 758$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6849…012dbacked Under | 50c | 731$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…1406backed Over | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a3…ead2backed Over | 50c | 694$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under | 47c | 662$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…21d4backed Over | 50c | 652$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 69c | 634.58$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…f8d2backed Over | 50c | 629$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 611$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 603.53$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Under | 45c | 597.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 51c | 570.69$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.05 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Under | 46c | 565.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…03f1backed Under | 50c | 544$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Raptors vs. BullsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.