NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0444403e3dd3e58d646a06a8e7f149bae216263d7c6c8cf412f289b6b9b95f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,484,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,484,261 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls | 50c | 456,665$228,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,321.62 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 50c | 448,241$224,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,120.34 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 49c | 122,510$60,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,880.31 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls | 50c | 109,824$54,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,911.94 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,000 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bulls | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Bulls | 52c | 82,602$42,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,952.91 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Raptors | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Raptors | 51c | 48,977$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,977.15 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Raptors | 49c | 44,097$21,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,489.33 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 50c | 41,968$20,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,191.1 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 50c | 40,605$20,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,302.31 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Bulls | 39c | 35,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,749.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 49c | 28,135$13,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,763.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bulls | 51c | 25,501$13,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,063.71 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Raptors | 50c | 23,138$11,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,569 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Raptors | 48c | 22,608$10,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,756.16 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…7c98backed Raptors | 50c | 18,762$9,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,380.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Raptors | 50c | 16,721$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,360.5 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Raptors | 49c | 13,976$6,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,127.71 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 80c | 13,234$10,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors | 50c | 11,608$5,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.79 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 49c | 10,745$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 50c | 10,553$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Bulls | 51c | 10,350$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.5 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Raptors | 49c | 9,351$4,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.38 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Raptors | 49c | 7,641$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.83 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors | 50c | 7,449$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.4 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Bulls | 52c | 6,611$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 53c | 6,415$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Raptors | 49c | 6,330$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.45 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Raptors | 51c | 6,248$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.51 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Raptors | 51c | 5,728$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.08 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Raptors | 50c | 5,706$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Raptors | 50c | 5,336$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Raptors | 50c | 5,279$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.5 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors | 50c | 5,000$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.55 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bulls | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Raptors | 50c | 4,724$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bulls | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Raptors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Raptors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 50c | 3,887$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Raptors | 50c | 3,750$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Raptors | 49c | 3,400$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.98 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Raptors | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Bulls | 42c | 2,630$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.1 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Raptors | 50c | 2,524$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Raptors | 51c | 2,455$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.49 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,256$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.45 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Raptors | 50c | 2,200$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 50c | 2,157$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 48c | 2,007$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Bulls | 50c | 1,673$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.5 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,516$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.31 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Bulls | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Raptors | 70c | 1,435$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.05 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Bulls | 38c | 1,390$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.46 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 51c | 1,315$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.73 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Raptors | 50c | 1,226$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.71 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Raptors | 51c | 1,209$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.16 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,208$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.03 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Raptors | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors | 48c | 1,008$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.09 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Raptors | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Raptors | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Raptors | 50c | 956.43$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.8 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Raptors | 50c | 907.44$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.72 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Raptors | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…7951backed Raptors | 49c | 880$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…367bbacked Bulls | 52c | 880$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Raptors | 50c | 811.24$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.62 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Raptors | 49c | 808.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Bulls | 51c | 783.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Raptors | 50c | 710.27$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Raptors | 50c | 709$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.31 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…6428backed Bulls | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8ba6backed Raptors | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 50c | 626.96$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Raptors | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Bulls | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bulls | 53c | 569.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Raptors | 50c | 532$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bulls | 43c | 528.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.26 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Raptors | 49c | 522.55$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Bulls | 51c | 518.45$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bulls | 44c | 456.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 75c | 450$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Raptors | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Raptors vs. BullsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.