TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Romania vs. Wales: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over44c18,327$8,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,303.922040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c5,230$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.723,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c5,111$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c4,051$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.561,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over34c3,368$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under57c2,558$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.6541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over71c2,470$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.0432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over44c1,770$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over43c1,768$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.56550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.910949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under56c1,600$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89636250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Over36c1,406$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.5520150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c1,366$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under56c1,351$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.282,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under67c1,134$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.1744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over47c1,002$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.135242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9933149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20a3…0fcabacked Under7c932.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.31137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c905.52$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.751,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over41c901.45$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over41c796.05$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.0521747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under55c788.36$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.891,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over43c653.17$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.3112146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over42c645.45$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.364949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under56c584.01$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.821,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over44c519.71$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0422450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under7c508.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.62020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31533120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c477.07$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c471.37$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over38c425.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.115457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c424.8$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.763,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under58c405.52$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.211065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23614146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22439050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22438451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22417447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c390.66$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over55c350.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Under56c344$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.647634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Under76c321$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.957659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over65c307.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8212250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over42c305.64$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6727255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under60c300.75$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16835352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over43c299.42$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.295530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c289.93$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.123,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over18c277.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7525865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Over49c267.61$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.264114.6%6 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over18c263.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0628964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.639951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under60c258.33$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1555232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under57c244.92$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8963151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.41,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.423732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.440848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c228.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.931,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under59c224.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7718764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under50c209.52$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7644435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under55c199.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over20c179.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8335658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.635451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under56c156$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3637452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under56c156$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3634851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.437051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4611238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ebe…74a9backed Under76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over52c126.92$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.923151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over50c119.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.812,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over42c114.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5113253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over44c110.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9738439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over53c109.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.187057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over58c105.16$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.54348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over50c101$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015043.3%65 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5633653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5637753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5634351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed Over35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.994341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x055f…b363backed Under61c99.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under56c89.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.792,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Under49c86.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1627058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8073…c119backed Under58c83.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under41c80.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.650450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5955153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over58c74.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under66c74.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Over50c73.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.632138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over35c71.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under59c69.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7690840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under58c68.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7518435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.