TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Romania vs. Wales: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,845 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6d1…286abacked Under54c4,722$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.0817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under41c4,495$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.4344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c4,274$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.332,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under45c3,347$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.4312146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over44c2,564$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.0412141.3%50 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over68c1,706$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.3137242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.868672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under56c999.99$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.037851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c960.3$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.521,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c779.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over69c715.83$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.811154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over42c688.98$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9210157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Over60c664.18$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.185543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over73c599.79$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9437451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under31c563.09$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under34c487.82$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8613736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under31c487.72$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.192,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c481.17$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.623,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under35c447.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.585530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8728258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under31c299.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.491,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6914866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under33c254.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over68c215.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over70c213.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.189168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over68c204.41$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.418646.5%40 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8814146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under32c197.93$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3418435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8050450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c153.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under29c149.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.531553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under30c149.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under32c128.12$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4141344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under31c123.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2441451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under31c122.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over70c109.03$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7146562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c107.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5916535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Over68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.945856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under24c101.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.761,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c100.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.391,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5127028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3411027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over63c93.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6516547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed Over70c85.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under32c82.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over75c81.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over71c72.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.311364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4631747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc60e…33d0backed Over71c72.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.942025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over44c70.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3938439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Over71c69.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.148452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.494546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.85650%28 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254731.9%15 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Under28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1c…3d69backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under44c45.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d1…82b1backed Over68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126556.9%37 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over69c43.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5512953.5%69 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under31c41.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over70c40.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0725865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5fa9…9945backed Over54c40.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.456738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over63c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over68c37.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0731550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7615060%90 W · 60 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over68c36.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7328964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under42c35.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9490840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7115247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7522258.6%130 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over68c33.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over67c31.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2263151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.324257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38dd…bb12backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.416358.7%37 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…4103backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.416765.7%44 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5711965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over63c27.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2416052.5%84 W · 76 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2119540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2503…8285backed Over69c21.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.834158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over68c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5910068%68 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c04…c81abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104376.7%33 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1d5dbacked Over54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.26959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x650b…683fbacked Over68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.45358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over69c17.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3451250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.