Fifa International · resolved market
Romania vs. Wales: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b34b82ac82313616bf4e29ed38adb40bc0063afc5d455ff3f265b6e10519c45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 3,151$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 47c | 1,074$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.87 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 49c | 1,063$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.48 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.8 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Yes | 50c | 807.81$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.58 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…678fbacked Yes | 53c | 647.94$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 633.55$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.3 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 450.87$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No | 58c | 392$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 370.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 339.52$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed No | 56c | 321$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 51c | 304.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 266.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 48c | 255.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 52c | 154.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 127.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 125.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 50c | 117.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 153 | 64.7%99 W · 54 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 98.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 79.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 50c | 78.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 29c | 66.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2777backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…310ebacked Yes | 54c | 46.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…305dbacked Yes | 49c | 44.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Yes | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 55c | 40.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 48c | 36.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 47c | 34.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 45c | 33.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 50c | 30.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…65b3backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 50c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 22.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 50c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Yes | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…fc3fbacked Yes | 52c | 20.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…f953backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Romania vs. Wales: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 0.5Over won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 1.5Over won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 2.5Over won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 3.5Under won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 4.5Under won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Romania (-1.5)Wales won
- Spread: Romania (-2.5)Wales won
- Spread: Wales (-1.5)Romania won
- Spread: Wales (-2.5)Romania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.