Fifa International · resolved market
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd314e8cbb3522836ec7c3aedf5c55849db6e4c47b1bfc175bb6311d3b12430dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 36c | 185,000$66,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,150 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 64c | 179,325$114,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,557.15 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 2,984$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 16c | 2,862$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 79c | 2,446$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.16 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 23c | 2,087$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 24c | 1,371$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 22c | 1,167$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 1,113$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 1,079$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.89 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 78c | 839.99$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 21c | 769.29$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 17c | 514.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 409.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 38c | 398.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 319.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Under | 76c | 317.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under | 78c | 278.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 78c | 277.77$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 256.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…849bbacked Over | 23c | 252.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 79c | 233$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 31c | 208$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 77c | 200.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Under | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 169.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b9cebacked Over | 36c | 154.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 24c | 143.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 36c | 111.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 23c | 98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 20c | 85.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 67c | 82.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 320 | 55.9%179 W · 141 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…387abacked Under | 76c | 80.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 80c | 71.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 183 | 71%130 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 19c | 68.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 23c | 66.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 21c | 64.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Over | 37c | 59.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 53.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 21c | 49.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 47.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 42.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 38c | 41.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 35c | 39.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 66c | 38.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 77c | 29.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Under | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 80c | 28.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 77c | 27.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 66c | 18.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 71c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Under | 79c | 14.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Under | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 79c | 12.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 3.5this page
- Romania vs. Wales: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 0.5Over won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 1.5Over won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 2.5Over won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 4.5Under won
- Romania vs. Wales: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Romania (-1.5)Wales won
- Spread: Romania (-2.5)Wales won
- Spread: Wales (-1.5)Romania won
- Spread: Wales (-2.5)Romania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.