TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc51f…891b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: WNBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.24
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$5.68
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$13.1
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$3.32
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+49%+$7.7
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$14.04
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$17.45
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$8.63
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$6.87
Czechia leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$4.68
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$7.74
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$8.47
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+89%+$11.77
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
NBA: SGA Award Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$9.78
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$3.88
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$4.86
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$3.39
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$4.18
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$3.79
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirebacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$14.65
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$16.76
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$7.04
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$4.86
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GAIS win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$12.91
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$7.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$20.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.