MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe20903268b81b2f98c771b6791d7459131ac87f27ffa4491506dc127a34d7913

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,736 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers	46c	9,167$4,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,988.26	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals	53c	3,451$1,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,821.05	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	3,154$1,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,757.7	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed St. Louis Cardinals	50c	2,811$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.4	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	2,350$1,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,181.33	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.98	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	1,773$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.99	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers	43c	1,746$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.19	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-7.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers	73c	1,199$875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.73	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers	41c	1,036$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.35	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers	44c	1,015$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.29	293	44.7%131 W · 162 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	1,002$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.6	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals	57c	1,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked St. Louis Cardinals	57c	849$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.93	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Milwaukee Brewers	48c	820.73$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.78	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	797.24$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.84	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	700$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals	53c	697.99$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.94	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Milwaukee Brewers	46c	696$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$375.84	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals	55c	695.19$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.86	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed St. Louis Cardinals	59c	511.16$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.6	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Milwaukee Brewers	44c	447.93$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.89	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	430.28$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.65	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed St. Louis Cardinals	57c	385.97$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked St. Louis Cardinals	54c	375$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals	27c	349.29$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.81	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	340.91$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.91	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked St. Louis Cardinals	55c	326.77$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.72	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers	46c	316.89$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.78	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	230$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.4	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…60b5backed Milwaukee Brewers	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	185$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.75	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals	57c	183.83$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.53	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked St. Louis Cardinals	56c	180$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Milwaukee Brewers	43c	139.52$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.53	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Milwaukee Brewers	45c	133.33$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.33	664	48.2%320 W · 344 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed St. Louis Cardinals	61c	106$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.66	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked St. Louis Cardinals	53c	100.07$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.75	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…d381backed Milwaukee Brewers	44c	98.14$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.14	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Milwaukee Brewers	43c	94.4$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.81	293	54.9%161 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers	44c	85.3$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.77	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	72$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	781	55.6%434 W · 347 L	+28.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Milwaukee Brewers	80c	72$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Milwaukee Brewers	43c	69.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.77	242	48.8%118 W · 124 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Milwaukee Brewers	43c	62.93$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.87	362	50.3%182 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	61$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	468	54.5%255 W · 213 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	61$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.11	721	54.2%391 W · 330 L	+20.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+144.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Milwaukee Brewers	45c	60$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Milwaukee Brewers	43c	45.72$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.06	191	55.5%106 W · 85 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Milwaukee Brewers	45c	45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Milwaukee Brewers	48c	40.29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.95	309	60.2%186 W · 123 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals	55c	40.01$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.01	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Milwaukee Brewers	33c	40$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	447	37.4%167 W · 280 L	-24.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	37.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked St. Louis Cardinals	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	297	47.1%140 W · 157 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers	68c	34.56$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.06	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	275	57.1%157 W · 118 L	+8.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked St. Louis Cardinals	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a84…4406backed Milwaukee Brewers	43c	28.26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.11	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+5.2wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Milwaukee Brewers	48c	23.5$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.22	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Milwaukee Brewers	48c	22.46$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.68	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff29…f008backed St. Louis Cardinals	56c	21.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-7.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf604…4976backed St. Louis Cardinals	59c	20.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-4.0wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc51f…891bbacked St. Louis Cardinals	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.19per pick	58cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked St. Louis Cardinals	67c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-6.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event