CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3a3513130419e36404be139644e39dfbd9c24605981b5dc18df51d17f63072a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof RUSTEC, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked RUSTEC | 76c | 3,412$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.82 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed RUSTEC | 77c | 3,100$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.96 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Lilmix | 23c | 1,261$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.03 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Lilmix | 24c | 968.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Lilmix | 33c | 851.22$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Lilmix | 23c | 799.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Lilmix | 25c | 602$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Lilmix | 25c | 567.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 24c | 530$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Lilmix | 25c | 508.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed RUSTEC | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed RUSTEC | 75c | 483.59$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed RUSTEC | 77c | 464.36$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Lilmix | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Lilmix | 29c | 333.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Lilmix | 20c | 320$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Lilmix | 22c | 313.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lilmix | 19c | 299.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Lilmix | 23c | 292.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lilmix | 24c | 252.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lilmix | 25c | 251.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Lilmix | 24c | 236.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Lilmix | 24c | 218.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed RUSTEC | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Lilmix | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed RUSTEC | 76c | 195.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed Lilmix | 23c | 169.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Lilmix | 25c | 144.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Lilmix | 29c | 135.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Lilmix | 24c | 125.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…c4c6backed Lilmix | 23c | 123.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Lilmix | 23c | 118.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Lilmix | 24c | 114.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lilmix | 20c | 114.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Lilmix | 23c | 100.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Lilmix | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 19c | 97.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed RUSTEC | 77c | 96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RUSTEC | 72c | 92.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lilmix | 31c | 89.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Lilmix | 22c | 83.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Lilmix | 23c | 78.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed RUSTEC | 74c | 77.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lilmix | 23c | 70.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…158ebacked Lilmix | 25c | 55.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked RUSTEC | 74c | 54.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…35d8backed RUSTEC | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed RUSTEC | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed RUSTEC | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked RUSTEC | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked RUSTEC | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed RUSTEC | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked RUSTEC | 80c | 15.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked RUSTEC | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed RUSTEC | 76c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Lilmix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: RUST (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.