Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will GAIS win on 2026-05-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dab04c23cab8d0d50610c1d0a81deca8edff40d146d783b9db3727eba1aebb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 53c | 2,642$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 2,631$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 47c | 1,383$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.97 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked Yes | 45c | 920$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 55c | 708.85$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.87 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 512.76$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 30c | 433.48$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 52c | 300.57$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 70c | 285.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 249.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 198.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…9648backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 52c | 179.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 56c | 179.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked No | 52c | 131.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 19c | 88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 75c | 85.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed No | 48c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 81.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 22c | 65.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked No | 53c | 58.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 55.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…f50dbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 76c | 51.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 52c | 42.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 45c | 35.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked No | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…8ddabacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 52c | 26.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 53c | 25.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…891bbacked Yes | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 51c | 23.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 54c | 22.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Yes | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 64c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GAIS win on 2026-05-30?this page
- Will GAIS vs. Kalmar FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-05-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.