TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2727…8dda

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.3
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$4.91
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$9.64
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33%+$4.64
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$4.4
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$5.88
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$7.3
Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$12.47
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$3.47
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$4.23
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$18.32
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$11.61
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$7.74
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$12.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$8.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GAIS win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.