CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5001a46a4cadadc7c2c2fbf649e16fc54b70ee9a123423741862eec87cf055f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,046,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,151,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,046,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 689 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 151,768$37,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,476.84 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed BIG | 75c | 79,900$59,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,975 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 69,594$16,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,702.66 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 41,536$9,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,853.91 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 38,000$8,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,739.98 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked BIG | 77c | 35,000$26,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,150 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed BIG | 77c | 34,555$26,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,947.59 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG | 78c | 32,055$24,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,056.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 31,818$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.76 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked BIG | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked BIG | 75c | 28,980$21,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,380.85 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 26,556$8,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,751.65 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 25,090$5,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,770.68 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 22,167$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.76 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…d455backed BIG | 77c | 20,336$15,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked BIG | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed BIG | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed BIG | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 17,777$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.72 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 38c | 17,472$6,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,681.22 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked BIG | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed BIG | 79c | 15,000$11,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.65 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed BIG | 76c | 14,584$11,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.13 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 13,456$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.82 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed BIG | 75c | 13,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.25 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked BIG | 77c | 13,126$10,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.26 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 13,043$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.89 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked BIG | 77c | 12,014$9,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.19 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked BIG | 76c | 12,000$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed BIG | 76c | 11,200$8,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked BIG | 71c | 11,045$7,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.11 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…1137backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 29c | 10,412$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed BIG | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed BIG | 76c | 9,087$6,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.32 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BIG | 73c | 8,948$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 8,608$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.21 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BIG | 65c | 8,032$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.46 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed BIG | 80c | 8,007$6,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.57 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 7,978$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.99 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed BIG | 76c | 7,775$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.52 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked BIG | 75c | 7,650$5,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.97 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked BIG | 74c | 6,601$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 6,343$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.03 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4da5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 14c | 6,261$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed BIG | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 27c | 5,873$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.42 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed BIG | 73c | 5,829$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.71 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed BIG | 76c | 5,555$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.18 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed BIG | 76c | 5,536$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.71 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked BIG | 77c | 5,500$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked BIG | 75c | 5,423$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.8 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BIG | 71c | 4,839$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.63 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed BIG | 66c | 4,701$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.75 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BIG | 71c | 4,635$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.35 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…c0a0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 4,601$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked BIG | 75c | 4,481$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 67c | 4,393$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 30c | 4,198$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.3 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BIG | 69c | 4,093$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed BIG | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 28c | 3,970$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.96 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 77c | 3,936$3,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 3,777$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.33 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 3,686$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed BIG | 75c | 3,632$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.88 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked BIG | 77c | 3,548$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.04 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed BIG | 73c | 3,536$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.75 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed BIG | 76c | 3,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 3,500$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BIG | 70c | 3,450$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.61 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed BIG | 76c | 3,272$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.45 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9806…2e4ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 3,100$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 77c | 3,078$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.07 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BIG | 69c | 3,059$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.09 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 3,046$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed BIG | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 2,948$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed BIG | 70c | 2,888$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.4 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 2,833$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed BIG | 75c | 2,779$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.78 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed BIG | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed BIG | 76c | 2,647$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.51 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed BIG | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed BIG | 66c | 2,500$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 39c | 2,410$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 2,388$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed BIG | 77c | 2,300$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.99 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 2,297$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.14 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 2,250$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked BIG | 76c | 2,239$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.65 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 2,185$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 2,175$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.23 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f908backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 2,005$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.65 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed BIG | 63c | 2,000$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed BIG | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.