TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4e6e…c0a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$176.57
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$51.74
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.78
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$90.08
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.21
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.63
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.88
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+106%+$157.62
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.21
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$29.03
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+203%+$54.43
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.34
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$12.77
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+329.9%+$529.63
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$177.74
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.57
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.46
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.7
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.69
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+79%+$23.92
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+111%+$58.85
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+142.3%+$41.86
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.44
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$63.89
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.45
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.64
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$118.84
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$55.52
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.44
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150.31
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+65%+$47.84
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.64
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.23
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$94.73
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$64.03
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$123.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$102.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.