TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pablo Carreno Bustaof Thiago Agustin Tirante, Pablo Carreno Busta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$934,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$982,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $934,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5966…f804backed Thiago Agustin Tirante49c102,817$50,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,220.722536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta60c64,381$38,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,922.124,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Pablo Carreno Busta66c52,514$34,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,955.613843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante69c49,300$34,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,016.9527460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pablo Carreno Busta55c40,165$22,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,951.098,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa0…be6dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante25c38,014$9,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,337.025536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c25,345$7,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,488.069355.9%52 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta60c20,747$12,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3306,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta31c20,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,799.96141%25 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Thiago Agustin Tirante23c19,973$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,520.1524841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Thiago Agustin Tirante58c18,938$11,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,055.3766949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante59c15,485$9,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,060.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Thiago Agustin Tirante30c15,346$4,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,604.734,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta56c14,395$7,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,396.0611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Pablo Carreno Busta58c13,332$7,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.4827554.9%151 W · 124 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pablo Carreno Busta66c12,086$7,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.258,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Thiago Agustin Tirante44c11,511$5,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,073.8336145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Pablo Carreno Busta67c10,844$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.324,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante33c10,822$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.7328039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Thiago Agustin Tirante35c9,762$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.9716133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Thiago Agustin Tirante52c9,637$5,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,005.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta53c8,438$4,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,965.8921743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pablo Carreno Busta52c7,668$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.641,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c7,614$5,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.351,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Thiago Agustin Tirante28c7,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9724643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Thiago Agustin Tirante63c6,905$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35030740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Pablo Carreno Busta56c6,651$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.772,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Pablo Carreno Busta32c6,180$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,180.2418237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Thiago Agustin Tirante68c5,980$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,048.1953655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pablo Carreno Busta64c5,377$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.9211154.1%60 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x154e…fbdebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante44c5,098$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2433016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c5,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35013050.8%66 W · 64 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c4,968$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.0156757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Thiago Agustin Tirante47c4,927$2,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.4710146.5%47 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta51c4,785$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.242,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Pablo Carreno Busta32c4,556$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.2515845.6%72 W · 86 L-12.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Pablo Carreno Busta42c4,476$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.2860053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c4,152$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.2757842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Thiago Agustin Tirante48c4,124$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…9156backed Pablo Carreno Busta78c3,836$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.06742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante54c3,523$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.416040%24 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb38f…5048backed Thiago Agustin Tirante57c3,497$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.63737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Pablo Carreno Busta53c3,419$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.9562061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta43c3,407$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.816552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Pablo Carreno Busta45c3,402$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.961,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pablo Carreno Busta53c3,340$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.44,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Pablo Carreno Busta78c3,234$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Pablo Carreno Busta56c3,218$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.623,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfa…621ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta31c3,190$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,190.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.9826049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Pablo Carreno Busta30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9368935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta46c2,951$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.981,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante33c2,863$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.497032.9%23 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Thiago Agustin Tirante32c2,700$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.9947728.1%134 W · 343 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Thiago Agustin Tirante36c2,650$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9571,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Thiago Agustin Tirante43c2,600$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.974841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c2,586$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.0627446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Thiago Agustin Tirante51c2,572$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.116844.6%75 W · 93 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Pablo Carreno Busta65c2,531$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.3491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c2,500$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72534242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Thiago Agustin Tirante31c2,461$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.8427431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Thiago Agustin Tirante74c2,403$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.0721256.1%119 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Thiago Agustin Tirante65c2,375$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.7442839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Thiago Agustin Tirante52c2,310$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.1910848.1%52 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Carreno Busta53c2,224$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.163,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Pablo Carreno Busta53c2,214$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.855,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante69c2,132$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.753,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta76c2,105$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.268644.2%38 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Pablo Carreno Busta67c2,100$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.211,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Thiago Agustin Tirante43c2,093$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90048440.3%195 W · 289 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a7…0792backed Pablo Carreno Busta52c2,082$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Thiago Agustin Tirante37c2,069$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.044,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pablo Carreno Busta32c2,022$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.982,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Pablo Carreno Busta41c2,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19045445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38019339.4%76 W · 117 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante36c1,922$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta71c1,797$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.641,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c1,774$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.411,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thiago Agustin Tirante64c1,773$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.8885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante64c1,772$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.8865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Pablo Carreno Busta68c1,758$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.392145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Thiago Agustin Tirante45c1,732$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.8154547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante69c1,642$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.0932050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Pablo Carreno Busta64c1,573$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.8462956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Pablo Carreno Busta56c1,531$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.7431647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Thiago Agustin Tirante69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03562545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40554138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Pablo Carreno Busta40c1,478$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.1354541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Pablo Carreno Busta41c1,473$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.0531436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.811,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Pablo Carreno Busta55c1,445$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.0120045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Thiago Agustin Tirante70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante63c1,408$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.945761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Thiago Agustin Tirante41c1,400$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.9832735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Pablo Carreno Busta47c1,373$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.031,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta31c1,290$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.321,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…9277backed Thiago Agustin Tirante24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta32c1,247$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.645843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.