MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd61e0fa91b8d97db39de2771acf65e52606247c4bca5d1e65821e348b894a9b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $730,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 348,249$198,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,807.44 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 250,000$107,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,499.97 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 77,842$44,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,500.27 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 74,931$31,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,838.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 41,928$18,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,029 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 34,000$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.21 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 21,306$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.75 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 21,062$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 15,417$6,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,783.66 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 15,164$6,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,755.77 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 13,064$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.05 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 12,031$9,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 11,363$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 10,262$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.25 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.96 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 9,895$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.44 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 9,764$5,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 9,500$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 7,320$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.73 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.92 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 6,738$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs | 0c | 5,788$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 5,346$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 3,396$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.75 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 2,995$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 1c | 2,915$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 2,604$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,577$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,553$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.38 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 1,533$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,484$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.64 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 1,325$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 1,319$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 29c | 1,296$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…dea8backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 1,253$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,197$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.71 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,120$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.59 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,003$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.16 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 999.94$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Chicago Cubs | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 899.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 899.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 894.25$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 878.58$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.93 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 856.26$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 777.92$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 745.41$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.34 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 709.2$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.71 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 663.94$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 586$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 581.55$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 580$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 550.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.51 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 543.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 542.33$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.05 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 502.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.32 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 499.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 459.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 455.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 455$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 446.64$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…2656backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 425.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 423.93$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 407.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 367.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 350.13$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 315$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…8b5dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 310$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 300.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…67edbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 289.35$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 289.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6b…516ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 289$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 275.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 273.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…f3e4backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 272.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-5.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-7.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.