TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34bb…f3e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT8740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$23.58
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$30.22
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$40.54
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8625.6%22 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+86%+$17.21
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$404.55
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+293.4%+$307.98
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.98
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+243%+$97.21
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.63
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$16.01
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.68
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-45.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$27.63
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.