MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb311d6df2c58a52e3a9529628d7ce17cefd6711b18ff96e129e871c3b4a58710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Atlanta Braves, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 21,884$12,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,661.55 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 61c | 15,003$9,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,830.54 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…b6d3backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 10,300$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 5,511$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.36 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 4,865$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked New York Mets | 37c | 4,593$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 4,215$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 62c | 3,813$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.08 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 3,519$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 54c | 3,500$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 62c | 3,500$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 72c | 2,832$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 63c | 2,160$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,933$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.54 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,391$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.49 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,202$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.64 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed New York Mets | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 833$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.59 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 768.02$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked New York Mets | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 497.37$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 61c | 490.1$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 447.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 61c | 407.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 406.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Mets | 73c | 338.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Mets | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 62c | 322$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 73c | 292.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 45c | 275.03$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 232.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 61c | 221.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Atlanta Braves | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Mets | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 146.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked New York Mets | 58c | 143$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 136.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 133.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Mets | 72c | 130.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 58c | 129.03$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked New York Mets | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed New York Mets | 63c | 123.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed New York Mets | 61c | 121.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 116.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 112.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed New York Mets | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed New York Mets | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 108.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed New York Mets | 62c | 99.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Braves | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 98.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 77.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 73.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 70.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 64.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed New York Mets | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked New York Mets | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed New York Mets | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 61.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 57c | 53.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…f3e4backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed New York Mets | 62c | 51.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Mets | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked New York Mets | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 47.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Atlanta Braves | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Mets | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 43.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 40.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed New York Mets | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 47c | 35.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 35.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked New York Mets | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 30.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Mets | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed New York Mets | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed New York Mets | 65c | 27.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked New York Mets | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed New York Mets | 75c | 24.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked New York Mets | 49c | 23.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked New York Mets | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed New York Mets | 63c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…2d0bbacked New York Mets | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed New York Mets | 62c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…1dcdbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 16.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed New York Mets | 77c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.