MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504124a9b21894731d718718f1a570b052b4a464782b5391aea84f18c6e35c38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 45c | 168,888$76,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,888.39 | 1,436 | 49.3%708 W · 728 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 55c | 156,764$86,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,220.11 | 446 | 46.9%209 W · 237 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 60c | 19,580$11,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,686.73 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.99 | 491 | 50.9%250 W · 241 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 56c | 8,464$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.07 | 893 | 49.3%440 W · 453 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 27c | 6,870$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.1 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.85 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 42c | 6,290$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.23 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 3,246$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.93 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 31c | 2,731$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.97 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +147.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under | 9c | 2,043$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 1,998$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.3 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 42c | 1,886$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.71 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Over | 58c | 1,850$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Under | 12c | 1,800$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 1,625$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.37 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 27c | 1,428$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.41 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed Under | 10c | 1,350$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +265.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.02 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,911 | 44.4%848 W · 1,063 L | -29.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…b48bbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…3497backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 949.47$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.53 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 804.39$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.37 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed Under | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +553.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 730.34$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 56c | 677.09$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 45c | 666.34$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.16 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 585$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 57c | 559$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.63 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 399$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Over | 44c | 372.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 37c | 346.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 43c | 315$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 46c | 229.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 2,191 | 40%876 W · 1,315 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 48c | 228.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 44c | 224.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…72f3backed Under | 54c | 220.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 613 | 49.1%301 W · 312 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 29c | 211.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 40c | 201.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 57c | 179.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 161.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 64c | 148.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 44c | 138$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 113.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 94.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 13c | 93.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 64c | 87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 28c | 81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 62c | 76.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 1,292 | 56.8%734 W · 558 L | +31.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Under | 74c | 66.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Under | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 45c | 50.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 55c | 46.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 58c | 45.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 45.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 3,018 | 48%1,448 W · 1,570 L | +14.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 61c | 39.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 44c | 39.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 56c | 34.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Under | 50c | 34.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +9.8wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 46c | 26.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 53c | 25.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…3273backed Under | 55c | 24.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 46c | 23.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 50c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Under | 54c | 20.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.