MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51487daba44bac28d30ad7ab7fdabb0807c64e2e069ecf630f584d2eb306a1bc

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof Los Angeles Dodgers, San Diego Padres
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $345,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $266,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,474 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f1a…bc89backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	78,605$40,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,030.43	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	1c	52,073$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.53	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers	1c	32,360$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.92	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres	49c	26,842$13,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,744.31	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	53c	26,438$13,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,898.78	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	0c	17,460$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	136	49.3%67 W · 69 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb107…3046backed San Diego Padres	52c	15,700$8,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,536.43	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	15,438$8,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,010.73	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres	50c	13,931$7,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,924.27	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres	49c	12,823$6,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,566.37	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres	49c	10,639$5,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,425.84	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed San Diego Padres	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres	48c	9,784$4,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,086.65	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres	48c	8,749$4,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,529.86	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	8,392$4,277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,276.53	284	53.9%153 W · 131 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	7,777$4,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,044.04	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers	46c	6,911$3,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,166.49	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed San Diego Padres	48c	6,315$3,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,283.72	233	51.1%119 W · 114 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.99	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres	47c	5,295$2,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,805.65	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed San Diego Padres	49c	5,117$2,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,612.01	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed San Diego Padres	50c	4,651$2,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,313.82	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres	48c	4,173$2,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,158.11	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres	49c	4,096$2,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,078.72	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres	49c	4,081$1,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,099.03	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	447	49.2%220 W · 227 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.93	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres	77c	2,857$2,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.65	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked San Diego Padres	49c	2,235$1,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.05	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres	49c	2,160$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,101.6	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d7…36e7backed San Diego Padres	53c	2,001$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.27	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Los Angeles Dodgers	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed San Diego Padres	49c	1,794$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.75	568	51.4%292 W · 276 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres	49c	1,430$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$725.21	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres	48c	1,196$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.92	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed San Diego Padres	48c	1,172$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.38	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Diego Padres	48c	1,078$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.12	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres	71c	1,050$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.53	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Los Angeles Dodgers	2c	1,046$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	346	39.6%137 W · 209 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked San Diego Padres	49c	1,000$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres	51c	961.45$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.11	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed San Diego Padres	50c	712.32$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.07	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc14e…3315backed Los Angeles Dodgers	55c	712.13$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.67	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Los Angeles Dodgers	22c	681.82$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed San Diego Padres	49c	675.51$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.51	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked San Diego Padres	50c	652.06$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.57	246	57.3%141 W · 105 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Dodgers	40c	638$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.93	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed San Diego Padres	49c	602.95$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.5	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked San Diego Padres	50c	596.08$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.08	404	47.8%193 W · 211 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres	51c	588.22$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.34	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked San Diego Padres	49c	571$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.21	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres	76c	512.02$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.05	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	490.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	281	52%146 W · 135 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres	49c	476$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.76	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed San Diego Padres	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed San Diego Padres	49c	376.74$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.57	264	44.3%117 W · 147 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	355.2$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	3,208	51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L	+146.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	37c	317$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.38	38	50%19 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	303.59$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.83	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed San Diego Padres	49c	303$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.96	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers	34c	287$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.09	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres	49c	249.81$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.82	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked San Diego Padres	49c	241$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.91	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed San Diego Padres	49c	240$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.71	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed San Diego Padres	51c	238.35$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.66	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed San Diego Padres	50c	206.73$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.81	152	52%79 W · 73 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	202.98$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.52	188	55.3%104 W · 84 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked San Diego Padres	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	141	61%86 W · 55 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed San Diego Padres	50c	198.8$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.8	351	49.3%173 W · 178 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked San Diego Padres	49c	179.98$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.69	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29f…dc4ebacked San Diego Padres	50c	177.08$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.95	85	45.9%39 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	160$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.8	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed San Diego Padres	48c	159$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.68	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers	38c	132$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…4551backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	129.33$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.96	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed San Diego Padres	50c	124.5$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.25	859	49.1%422 W · 437 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	115$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.65	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	111.6$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.03	2,203	50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L	+29.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	18c	103.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	115	35.7%41 W · 74 L	-12.8wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres	59c	100.98$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.83	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed San Diego Padres	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed San Diego Padres	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-8.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers	53c	96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.68	468	54.5%255 W · 213 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers	53c	96$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.68	721	54.2%391 W · 330 L	+20.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+144.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	82.35$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	185	56.2%104 W · 81 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	80$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Los Angeles Dodgers	28c	79.88$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	79	55.7%44 W · 35 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres	60c	78$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	197	54.8%108 W · 89 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersSan Diego Padres won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event