MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dafddc918d0d3a9853cbe250b9d180f48c07ba277e375faf6f26bec62dd7359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 128,146$60,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,126.25 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 35,236$18,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,672.82 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 54c | 28,256$15,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,170.85 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 17,387$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,561.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 16,596$8,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,949.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 16,497$7,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,882.36 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 12,764$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,751.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 9,512$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 33c | 9,190$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 8,044$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.49 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 7,818$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 7,556$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 6,249$2,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.2 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 4,976$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Over | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 54c | 3,183$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 27c | 2,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.94 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 47c | 2,348$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.44 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 54c | 2,037$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.47 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 54c | 1,876$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.98 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Over | 36c | 1,689$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.19 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,656$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,455$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,447$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 46c | 1,094$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.34 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 54c | 925.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.83 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 43c | 828.35$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.27 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 782.6$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.24 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 26c | 657.63$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 24c | 608.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 54c | 555.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 46c | 430.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 54c | 418.5$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 383$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 54c | 380$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 46c | 364.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 62c | 337.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 54c | 313.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 53c | 279$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 252$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Over | 54c | 234.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 43c | 216$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 54c | 187.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 34c | 173.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 149.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 24c | 145$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 54c | 143.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 33c | 129$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 54c | 127.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Under | 47c | 110.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 33c | 106.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 103.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 54c | 102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Over | 54c | 100.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 49c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 54c | 94.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 54c | 90.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 47c | 79.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 31c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…a9d5backed Over | 54c | 71.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 46c | 65.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 51c | 65.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 47c | 65.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…1aa4backed Over | 49c | 61.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…6569backed Over | 53c | 59.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…2555backed Over | 54c | 42.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…120dbacked Over | 54c | 42.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Over | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 53c | 40.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…fea0backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Over | 28c | 36.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 33c | 36.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…2d60backed Under | 47c | 34.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Over | 29c | 34.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 47c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 54c | 26.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Under | 47c | 26.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.