MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd490eca0191314746162741fd490d5c3c66d5795e980c7e491c4f8e65e68ebba

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Los Angeles Dodgers
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,415,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,387,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,415,494 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed San Diego Padres	48c	795,733$384,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411,428.35	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Los Angeles Dodgers	57c	584,110$331,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331,510.47	901	46.3%417 W · 484 L	+25.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers	34c	228,439$76,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76,609.44	11,054	51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L	+137.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres	33c	67,893$22,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,488.46	486	48.8%237 W · 249 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	73c	26,448$19,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,305.3	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	26,249$11,881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,880.77	3,107	48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	25,839$17,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,312.44	2,314	52.5%1,216 W · 1,098 L	+26.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres	35c	22,220$7,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,443	1,692	50.2%849 W · 843 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	40c	21,331$8,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,499.03	11,606	52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L	+210.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres	62c	20,965$12,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,966.52	447	54.8%245 W · 202 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers	46c	16,851$7,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,733.54	8,251	46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L	+41.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres	65c	16,127$10,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,644.42	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	39c	15,317$6,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,031.18	4,401	47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L	-76.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed San Diego Padres	28c	15,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,799.99	554	53.2%295 W · 259 L	+22.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	59c	12,248$7,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,221.37	239	54.4%130 W · 109 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	11,166$5,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,045.61	6,128	55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L	+347.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres	59c	10,030$5,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,064.43	491	50.9%250 W · 241 L	-11.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers	65c	8,000$5,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,239.98	5,517	50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	7,700$3,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,462	164	48.8%80 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Los Angeles Dodgers	11c	7,547$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.79	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	7,463$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	6,762$4,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,530.54	750	50.8%381 W · 369 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers	64c	6,354$4,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,064.36	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres	34c	6,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,960	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed San Diego Padres	34c	5,874$1,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,876.53	198	54%107 W · 91 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	66c	5,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,299.99	995	49.9%497 W · 498 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Dodgers	26c	4,854$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280.47	980	45%441 W · 539 L	-14.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed San Diego Padres	33c	4,576$1,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,065.85	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Los Angeles Dodgers	31c	4,242$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	397	39.5%157 W · 240 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres	55c	4,150$2,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,874.89	4,524	48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L	-42.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Los Angeles Dodgers	68c	4,133$2,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,810.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed San Diego Padres	33c	3,500$1,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,344.96	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers	65c	2,919$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,897.53	3,541	51%1,805 W · 1,736 L	+53.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres	38c	2,643$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,633.93	2,064	39.2%810 W · 1,254 L	-29.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked San Diego Padres	34c	2,623$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730.95	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres	49c	2,563$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,295.55	1,530	59.4%909 W · 621 L	+82.7wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed San Diego Padres	77c	2,433$1,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.74	1,014	44.8%454 W · 560 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	2,416$1,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,614.41	4,107	57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L	+65.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	31c	2,200$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683	388	33.8%131 W · 257 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	66c	2,198$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.11	1,537	51.2%787 W · 750 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed San Diego Padres	41c	2,174$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,274.11	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres	74c	2,152$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.06	630	43.3%273 W · 357 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	2,094$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.4	929	46.1%428 W · 501 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Los Angeles Dodgers	1c	2,075$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.25	586	2%12 W · 574 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked San Diego Padres	46c	2,000$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	518	49.4%256 W · 262 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres	34c	1,555$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026.27	1,359	50.8%690 W · 669 L	+12.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed San Diego Padres	58c	1,498$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.44	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Los Angeles Dodgers	32c	1,494$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.4	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+26.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-7.4wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	66c	1,400$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924	718	53.3%383 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad77…3d8ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	1,313$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.30per pick	52cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers	23c	1,298$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.24	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked San Diego Padres	47c	1,166$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.32	103	44.7%46 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed San Diego Padres	37c	1,159$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$731.11	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	1,031$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.46	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	1,027$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed San Diego Padres	34c	1,026$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.47	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	11c	1,000$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	175	17.1%30 W · 145 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Dodgers	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Los Angeles Dodgers	65c	999.98$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.99	540	48.3%261 W · 279 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Los Angeles Dodgers	40c	964.3$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.72	99	28.3%28 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Dodgers	66c	957$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.62	928	54%501 W · 427 L	+22.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	916.34$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.95	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed San Diego Padres	33c	852.55$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.21	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	829.67$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.72	89	47.2%42 W · 47 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	800.58$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.39	904	53.5%484 W · 420 L	+24.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…36f4backed Los Angeles Dodgers	39c	769.23$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	759.63$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.95	411	52.3%215 W · 196 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers	37c	756.13$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.49	9,862	46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L	+40.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Los Angeles Dodgers	4c	749.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	10cpaid	-82%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Los Angeles Dodgers	41c	749.48$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	179	51.4%92 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…38e5backed San Diego Padres	34c	747.06$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.06	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	746.27$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	746.1$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.89	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed San Diego Padres	34c	735.29$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.29	431	53.6%231 W · 200 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed San Diego Padres	34c	734.51$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.78	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed San Diego Padres	34c	713.29$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.77	262	45.8%120 W · 142 L	-17.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	66c	672.08$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.56	7,046	50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Dodgers	65c	650$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.1	1,671	49.1%820 W · 851 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Los Angeles Dodgers	19c	642.87$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.3	548	15.9%87 W · 461 L	-41.1wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres	51c	627.49$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.47	1,141	42.7%487 W · 654 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	600$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed San Diego Padres	59c	599$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.38	961	55.2%530 W · 431 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7668…bc8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	20c	589.74$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed San Diego Padres	34c	588.24$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.24	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers	64c	570.07$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.04	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers	43c	513.75$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.51	4,197	50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Los Angeles Dodgers	59c	508.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf05…59d7backed Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	507.34$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	65c	500$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	325	47.7%155 W · 170 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbea4…bcf2backed Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	499.99$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed San Diego Padres	34c	499.98$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.99	208	48.6%101 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Los Angeles Dodgers	65c	499.86$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.11	1,911	44.4%848 W · 1,063 L	-29.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2da…2ba1backed Los Angeles Dodgers	60c	496.37$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+212.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers	65c	492$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.8	1,415	48.9%692 W · 723 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1a…72f3backed Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	484.62$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers	67c	478.81$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319	218	53.2%116 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked San Diego Padres	34c	475.13$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.26	259	50.2%130 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked San Diego Padres	34c	469.41$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.81	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-8.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	20c	449.36$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersthis page
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event