MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49c462bd27bdceb4a84324f8610cb77ab5d23d2be36d853ef95bf19f195f47ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Toronto Blue Jays, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 96,886$22,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,429.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 44,380$22,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,190 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 27,651$20,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,831.28 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 22,214$13,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,615.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 18,900$9,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,430.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 17,244$8,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,794.49 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 15,304$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,527.22 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 14,794$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,544.94 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 14,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 62c | 6,411$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 5,621$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.27 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 4,821$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.92 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,542$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.42 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 4,267$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 3,993$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 3,919$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.59 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.93 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,692$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.08 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 2,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,375$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 78c | 2,119$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.15 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,923$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.28 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,841$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.14 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 1,770$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,617$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.15 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,600$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 1,465$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,388$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked San Francisco Giants | 78c | 1,388$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.91 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,320$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.8 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed San Francisco Giants | 74c | 1,275$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.2 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 1,073$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,070$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 999.66$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.2 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 875$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 792.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 752.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Francisco Giants | 77c | 669.39$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 657.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 652.96$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.95 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked San Francisco Giants | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…b1fbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 570.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…f700backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 562.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 560.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.95 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 537.9$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 503.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 466.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 444.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 440.59$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.09 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb9…7bf4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 408.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 406.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.12 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 379$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed San Francisco Giants | 72c | 362.6$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 346.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 321.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants | 74c | 319.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 299$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 290.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 290.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 285$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 281.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 264.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…4302backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 241.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 236.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 221.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 200.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…a3c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…df46backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 196.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…7a47backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 186.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 181.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…ff6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 173.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 161.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked San Francisco Giants | 74c | 159.48$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-6.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.