MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb580a149a4b393c95b2b4ac393bfb3a111517ef2ef6e458761b1fc5d9832f315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $361,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 50c | 200,784$99,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,940.95 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 50c | 73,082$36,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,264.83 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 42,405$20,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,298.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 50c | 37,604$18,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,802.02 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 49c | 20,452$10,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,093.6 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 13,793$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,958.26 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 12,474$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 7,296$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 6,833$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.58 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 6,636$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 6,421$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Over | 50c | 3,360$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 3,072$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.76 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 2,546$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 52c | 2,440$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 50c | 2,340$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 2,141$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.68 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 49c | 1,980$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 1,474$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.78 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 1,394$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 50c | 1,371$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 50c | 1,333$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.28 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 50c | 1,293$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.5 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 50c | 1,261$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.73 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 1,192$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.16 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 1,172$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 51c | 1,121$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.15 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 1,119$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 50c | 1,082$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.02 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.58 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 51c | 962.16$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.46 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 48c | 801$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.48 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 670.22$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.11 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 51c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.35 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 51c | 528.03$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 51c | 490.53$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.79 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 49c | 473.36$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.95 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Over | 50c | 408.16$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 50c | 396.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 51c | 333.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 50c | 332.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 51c | 311.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 303$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.35 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…ce1fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…1986backed Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 50c | 299$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 49c | 281.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…c1c9backed Over | 52c | 281.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 65c | 279.8$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 59c | 257.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 241$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 50c | 239.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Over | 51c | 238.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Over | 52c | 227.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Over | 51c | 187.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 35c | 180.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 47c | 172$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 168.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 165.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 48c | 164.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 50c | 149.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 50c | 147$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 50c | 124.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…1dcdbacked Under | 69c | 122.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 48c | 118.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 65c | 105$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-6.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.