MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x732bea87cf366b1b09b3881735aa9e42fab8e5539d30726d1208dd8e9a6200cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Toronto Blue Jays, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $618,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 96,388$50,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,266.23 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 44,940$17,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,263.77 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 44,444$24,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 34,373$16,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,842.77 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 17,843$8,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,434.03 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 16,653$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.15 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 14,140$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,363 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 10,559$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.99 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 10,447$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010.12 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 9,493$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 8,508$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.02 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 8,033$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.71 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…e87cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 7,448$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 6,515$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.5 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 5,817$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.51 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 5,617$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.58 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 5,556$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 4,672$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.88 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 4,500$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 4,379$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.52 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 4,254$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 3,521$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.08 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 3,440$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.64 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,437$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.33 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,040$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.17 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,786$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.38 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,776$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.39 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 2,679$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.73 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,193$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.26 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,937$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.79 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,781$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.97 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,655$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.99 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 1,325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,039$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.6 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 968.82$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.61 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 888.8$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 881.91$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.32 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 864.82$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.87 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 720.29$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 714.89$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…6035backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 668.56$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 627.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 963 | 49%472 W · 491 L | -39.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 618.93$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.27 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 593.4$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 560$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 547.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 523.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 520$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 495.15$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 494.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 492$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 450.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 394.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 366.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 77c | 352$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 347$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 346.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 346.14$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 334$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 332.04$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 300.16$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 290$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 283.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 254.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 250$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 243.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 239.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 239.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 223.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 220.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…3ca2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 216.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 214.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 209.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 208.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.