MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f2e71f5c4c6cc81f298f02e7b896de3a5ba4de2ad7d26f9f094ec5767e58629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 52c | 253,948$132,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,894.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 48c | 208,333$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.84 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 60,460$33,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,213.68 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 21,565$9,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,698.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 16,466$7,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,514.65 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 48c | 14,560$6,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,988.8 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 10,908$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.93 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 9,183$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 7,939$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.12 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 5,151$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 4,475$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 3,810$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 48c | 2,748$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.97 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 44c | 1,113$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.75 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 32c | 833$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.7 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 820.63$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 44c | 667.93$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 55c | 555.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 455$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 398.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 49c | 325.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 53c | 317.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…4a58backed Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 33c | 254.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 44c | 231.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.88 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 63c | 230$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 35c | 216$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 204.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 51c | 198.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 27c | 196.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 48c | 195.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 45c | 173.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 160.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 41c | 145.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 63c | 136$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 48c | 113.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 97.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 51c | 91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Over | 48c | 76.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Under | 38c | 71.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 44c | 69.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Over | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 38c | 59.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 49c | 50.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 38c | 41.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…40b4backed Over | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 29.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 47c | 26.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 52c | 24.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Over | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 23.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…e0e4backed Over | 62c | 21.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…6595backed Over | 62c | 20.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Under | 52c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf1abacked Over | 62c | 17.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.