MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a22a7b0eaeb4499d1a1fd77de5abbc849abfb8625206c380b6d6790658e35b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 45,192$27,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,952.04 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 40,000$14,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,758.18 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 25,900$13,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,596.51 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 18,373$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 16,529$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,751.87 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 15,866$10,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.8 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 11,002$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.75 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 10,576$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.65 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 8,408$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 35c | 6,586$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.97 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 6,581$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.73 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 6,439$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.33 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 5,628$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 5,524$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.85 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 5,378$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.44 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 5,367$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 37c | 5,125$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 4,909$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.62 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 3,939$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 3,800$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.9 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 3,581$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 3,542$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.77 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,333$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.42 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,227$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.71 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 71c | 3,092$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,000$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,669$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.85 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Diego Padres | 19c | 2,609$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,322$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.21 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,000$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 2,000$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.12 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,000$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,967$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.65 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,843$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,755$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,725$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.15 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,643$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,562$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.9 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 1,522$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.07 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,354$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.5 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,233$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 1,193$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 1,146$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…4fc4backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 1,104$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,045$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.39 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 963.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 934.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 905$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.51 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…61fbbacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 902.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 829.5$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 827.65$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 825$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.15 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 788.13$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.32 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…72f3backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 745.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 712.58$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.28 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 599.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 585$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 544.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.39 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 533.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 519.76$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 506.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 457.74$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 433.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.04 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 432.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.35 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 425.61$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 391.86$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 379.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 373.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 371.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 363.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 346.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked San Diego Padres | 4c | 340.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 332.17$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 320$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 310$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 301.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 299$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 291.48$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 282$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 281.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…edfabacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 276.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 275.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 258.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 254.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…f23cbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 241.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 238.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 237.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.76 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 235$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 223.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 217.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 216.74$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-7.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-8.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.