MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x257aa9eb9ca4231f15aaa07567643337c8a3164108a5f65f244d81d509cb8964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 50c | 100,445$50,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,150.71 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 50c | 62,726$31,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,256.63 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 35,951$18,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,498.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 22,786$11,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,286.88 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 46c | 7,825$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.6 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 7,500$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 7,436$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.37 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 7,121$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 4,618$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 50c | 4,229$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.5 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 3,970$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 2,476$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.43 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 46c | 2,005$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.8 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 1,523$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 58c | 1,195$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 42c | 1,142$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 1,088$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,029$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.67 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 50c | 975.6$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 808.74$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 50c | 800$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 50c | 780$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 62c | 759.63$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 601.98$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 51c | 593.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.59 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 591.8$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Over | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 56c | 370.46$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 356.54$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.7 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 51c | 302.82$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 51c | 299.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 31c | 278.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 268.88$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Over | 50c | 244$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Under | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 221.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 49c | 196.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 51c | 173$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 168$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 153$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 149.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 141.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Over | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 134.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Under | 51c | 124$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 121.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Under | 52c | 119.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 58c | 119.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 58c | 118$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 50c | 112.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Over | 47c | 102.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 101.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 55c | 94.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 68c | 90$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 37c | 86.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 74.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…b9b0backed Over | 37c | 72.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 47c | 64.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 40c | 62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 41c | 57.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Over | 54c | 53.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Over | 45c | 52.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 51c | 52.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 45c | 51.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Under | 51c | 50.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 51c | 48.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…0974backed Over | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Over | 48c | 47.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Under | 51c | 45.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 32c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 50c | 41.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…fc0abacked Under | 77c | 40.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 52c | 35.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 49c | 34.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 34.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-7.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-8.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.