MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b937174fa5cd0184c921a2af822bfc968683a55ce4c6b482bcef3c15876b2d

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Houston Astrosof Tampa Bay Rays, Houston Astros
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,668,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,865,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,668,838 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed Houston Astros	53c	270,988$143,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127,876.83	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b21…a230backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	155,236$78,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,769.97	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	125,868$67,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,596.81	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	107,152$43,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,995.7	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Houston Astros	52c	100,000$52,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,000	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	91,664$44,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,598.57	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5639…a907backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	41,826$16,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros	49c	36,230$17,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,343.89	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	73c	34,378$25,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,032.68	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros	24c	19,964$4,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,116.31	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Astros	51c	19,293$9,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,453.71	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays	73c	18,591$13,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,538.37	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros	49c	15,871$7,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,094.43	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Houston Astros	58c	13,018$7,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,446.66	319	58.6%187 W · 132 L	+27.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays	64c	11,162$7,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,134.3	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc0…847dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	69c	9,183$6,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,331.76	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Houston Astros	30c	7,910$2,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,540.88	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	7,750$4,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,117.77	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Houston Astros	48c	7,381$3,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,838.31	285	53.3%152 W · 133 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays	78c	6,309$4,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,904.26	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros	50c	5,903$2,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,956.6	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	47c	5,845$2,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,737	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays	59c	5,721$3,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,395.51	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	5,500$2,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,035	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	5,405$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Tampa Bay Rays	49c	4,819$2,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,361.31	216	44.9%97 W · 119 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	78c	4,686$3,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,675.37	370	32.7%121 W · 249 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros	48c	4,453$2,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,315.62	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Houston Astros	52c	4,444$2,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,133.12	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros	49c	4,054$1,971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,082.98	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd2a…315ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	32c	3,500$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Tampa Bay Rays	43c	3,438$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.51	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros	59c	3,270$1,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340.51	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Houston Astros	48c	2,990$1,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,554.73	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Houston Astros	35c	2,831$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,850.95	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+113%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros	32c	2,586$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,752.45	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	2,549$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…698dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	38c	2,546$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.39	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,275	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros	56c	2,315$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.75	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays	60c	2,221$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.99	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Tampa Bay Rays	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc30b…b9dbbacked Tampa Bay Rays	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Houston Astros	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	1,844$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.54	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	55c	1,836$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.24	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros	52c	1,834$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.31	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros	52c	1,746$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.08	920	54%497 W · 423 L	+23.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd759…6d1abacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	1,684$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays	59c	1,618$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.77	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros	35c	1,504$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.61	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	1,388$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.48	346	50.9%176 W · 170 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros	43c	1,368$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.46	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Houston Astros	37c	1,351$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.35	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros	49c	1,335$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.7	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	1,300$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	49c	1,075$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.67	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros	55c	1,048$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.48	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	1,024$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.43	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	61c	1,017$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.31	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Houston Astros	39c	958.67$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.01	338	64.2%217 W · 121 L	+23.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	946.59$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.83	776	47.4%368 W · 408 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	905.06$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.64	718	50.1%360 W · 358 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Tampa Bay Rays	33c	904.28$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Houston Astros	59c	826.24$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.76	173	54.9%95 W · 78 L	-14.0wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	825$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.5	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	792.43$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.63	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Tampa Bay Rays	60c	759.86$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.46	1,121	44.1%494 W · 627 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	710.99$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.48	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros	40c	704.24$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.24	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Houston Astros	48c	678.35$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.74	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	673.46$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bee…7762backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	646.86$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros	54c	597.47$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.7	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	580$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.6	269	48.7%131 W · 138 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	577.39$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.34	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Houston Astros	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	347	56.5%196 W · 151 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Tampa Bay Rays	61c	574.75$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.93	1,141	42.9%490 W · 651 L	-37.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Houston Astros	44c	568$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.45	346	58.1%201 W · 145 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Houston Astros	52c	530$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.4	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	529.23$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.97	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	523.07$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.34	469	49.9%234 W · 235 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros	37c	521.09$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.29	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed Tampa Bay Rays	49c	510$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.9	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Houston Astros	49c	507.02$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.33	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Tampa Bay Rays	55c	504.77$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.25	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8675…725dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	80c	503.75$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	500.38$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.72	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	500$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	549	45.4%249 W · 300 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Tampa Bay Rays	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Tampa Bay Rays	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Houston Astros	29c	479.2$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.2	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Houston Astros	17c	475$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.95	777	52.1%405 W · 372 L	+36.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	54c	462.57$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosthis page
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 15.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 17.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 18.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston AstrosYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event