MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6803fba1a3d6ff34196305c5e5f34477f920f2070dcd0431c80673adc640acc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 47c | 87,343$40,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,720.73 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 25,232$13,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,502.63 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 17,810$9,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,528.3 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 54c | 10,747$5,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,803.11 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 53c | 8,572$4,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,543.1 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 7,713$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.75 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.98 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 4,904$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 4,198$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.24 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 3,197$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.98 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 2,406$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,625$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.66 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,625$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 1,581$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.75 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 1,555$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.7 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.96 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 55c | 913.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 898$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.05 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 46c | 695.98$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.63 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 639.79$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.23 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 53c | 531.76$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 72c | 516.96$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 54c | 456.13$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.31 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 54c | 390$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 378.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.19 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 30c | 330.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 27c | 246.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 67c | 235.95$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 54c | 225.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 54c | 222.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 74c | 218.88$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 54c | 192$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 54c | 182.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 27c | 150.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under | 55c | 142$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 27c | 138.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…f0e9backed Over | 76c | 131.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 45c | 119.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 75c | 118.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 46c | 107.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 104.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 50c | 100.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 93.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 54c | 91.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 52c | 89.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 45c | 66.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 53.6%97 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 50.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 52c | 43.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 53c | 41.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 45c | 40.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 72c | 39.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Under | 54c | 27.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 55c | 27.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…cfbfbacked Over | 65c | 25.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 55c | 25.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 54c | 23.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 77c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Over | 63c | 16.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 13.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 15.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 17.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 18.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.