MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b32850951b08cd60d14db8cacbd9a9ebde2f6f6af3b4c02079ecca549208351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 112,166$50,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,474.89 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 56,344$26,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,284.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 47,152$25,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,689.77 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 40,816$20,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 16,907$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 16,421$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,533.36 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 15,688$11,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 11,166$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 9,023$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 6,814$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.42 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 6,782$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 6,364$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.64 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 5,361$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,102$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 4,832$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Seattle Mariners | 7c | 4,596$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.8 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 24c | 4,082$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,082$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,802$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.88 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 3,382$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 3,283$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.22 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,061$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 2,580$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.62 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 2,532$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,511$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.27 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 2,393$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 2,175$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,999$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,755$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.25 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 1,666$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.32 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,467$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.49 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,364$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 1,308$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.59 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,300$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,276$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.78 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,238$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.5 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 1,223$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.05 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,086$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.58 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 26c | 1,078$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.11 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 898.23$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.47 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 855.62$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 816$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 802$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.9 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 33c | 722.2$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.33 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 612$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 594.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 560$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 559.96$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 500$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.41 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 500$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 491.42$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.14 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 433.89$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 427.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 413.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Mariners | 30c | 360.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 325.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 325.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 324.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 313.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 294.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 283.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 278.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 277.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 260$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 245$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 226$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 216.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 209.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 204.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Seattle Mariners | 14c | 199.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 191.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 189.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 2.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.