MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd42b093477e74926b85527be9fc079875ef50ebe97f102f9746b909bf540ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 75,181$42,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,828.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 44c | 27,628$12,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,156.37 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 16,558$7,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,206.38 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 44c | 10,222$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 44c | 10,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 43c | 5,183$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 2,906$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 42c | 2,880$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.79 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 1,986$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.8 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 1,577$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.47 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Under | 58c | 1,529$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,384$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 56c | 1,233$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.44 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 1,088$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.72 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 57c | 990$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 44c | 876.34$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.59 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 44c | 695$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.8 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 43c | 654.06$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 636$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 598$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 563.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 57c | 527.44$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Over | 39c | 487.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 455.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 7c | 400.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 342.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 60c | 331.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 38c | 290$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 287.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 265.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…b7abbacked Over | 6c | 260$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…3fb0backed Over | 4c | 249$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 244.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 43c | 229.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 43c | 201.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 161.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under | 57c | 127.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 44c | 127.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 40c | 125.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 40c | 125.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 44c | 117$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 56c | 102.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Over | 43c | 77.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 44c | 72.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 63.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Over | 43c | 59.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 44c | 56.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Over | 35c | 47.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 43.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 43.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 45c | 41.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 43c | 36.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 44c | 35.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Under | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…359dbacked Under | 57c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle MarinersToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 2.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.