MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe42f3eeeca128c49ac1c603b75bc5b7997936fdedcb816092c88cb04d2543ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Minnesota Twins, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 46,160$15,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,232.73 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 25,527$16,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,679.22 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 22,874$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 22,497$7,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,423.7 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Minnesota Twins | 14c | 19,724$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.29 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 19,057$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,167.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 64c | 15,739$10,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,687.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 13,780$9,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.63 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 12,773$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.5 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Yankees | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.98 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 8,682$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.37 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Yankees | 67c | 7,943$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.19 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Yankees | 65c | 5,634$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.93 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 4,329$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed New York Yankees | 64c | 3,869$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 3,474$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.37 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked New York Yankees | 67c | 3,101$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.06 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 2,471$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.37 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 2,240$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.15 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 2,090$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.39 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 74c | 1,986$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.38 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed New York Yankees | 70c | 1,754$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.98 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 75c | 1,478$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.63 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees | 67c | 1,396$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 1,197$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.95 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 77c | 1,052$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,051$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.33 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 1,024$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 1,001$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.82 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 969.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 948.29$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 919.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 909.43$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 63c | 887.04$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 880.3$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 869.43$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 856.02$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.08 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 845.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 813$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.42 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 779.95$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.03 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 749.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 749.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 734.53$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.6 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 693$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 655.88$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 644.68$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Minnesota Twins | 2c | 608.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed New York Yankees | 68c | 597.75$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 562.03$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 523.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 484.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed New York Yankees | 76c | 447.37$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 440.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 430.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.73 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees | 66c | 420$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 409.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed New York Yankees | 79c | 388.34$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 372.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 67c | 371.4$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 34c | 369.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 65c | 347.89$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed New York Yankees | 77c | 320.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 317.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 306.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.01 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New York Yankees | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 299.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 294.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 290$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed New York Yankees | 64c | 288$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Yankees | 67c | 265.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Yankees | 80c | 265$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked New York Yankees | 74c | 218$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 216.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked New York Yankees | 67c | 212.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc43b…4552backed New York Yankees | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 195$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 193.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…cee8backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 190.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 182.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 169.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed New York Yankees | 67c | 167$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.