MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa04cec56107cee58d130dbac14d40122bc74da74f8d922c00b90af9174a16a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed New York Yankees | 47c | 19,158$9,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,153.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 18,054$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,757.93 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 10,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.97 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 5,848$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.78 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 59c | 5,838$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed New York Yankees | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 1,532$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.64 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,528$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 1,239$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.2 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,141$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.73 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 990$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 857.5$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.05 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed New York Yankees | 54c | 803.74$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.06 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 46c | 709.79$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.29 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 707$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.71 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 54c | 665.58$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 630.1$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 57c | 500.31$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.32 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 493.76$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 450$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 420.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.71 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed New York Yankees | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 333.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 302.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 16c | 272$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 260.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 48c | 237.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 62c | 224.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed New York Yankees | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 198.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 194$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad2…5dfebacked New York Yankees | 52c | 188.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 174$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees | 49c | 170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed New York Yankees | 57c | 149$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 129.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed New York Yankees | 57c | 121$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 106.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 102.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed New York Yankees | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 97.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed New York Yankees | 47c | 94.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 89.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 88.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 87.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 83.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed New York Yankees | 47c | 75.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 56.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New York Yankees | 59c | 49.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed New York Yankees | 57c | 49.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed New York Yankees | 51c | 47.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed New York Yankees | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…076ebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 35.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked New York Yankees | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 29.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed New York Yankees | 48c | 29.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 28.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed New York Yankees | 47c | 27.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…1a0dbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed New York Yankees | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Yankees | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed New York Yankees | 47c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed New York Yankees | 60c | 22.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 22.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.