MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91d1a4dd4648f079aec8f2695164cd4fd0aa1db8e1ccc9b251578738e309df23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 41,454$18,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,799.94 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 29,333$16,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,218.12 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 26,597$14,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,894.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 25,373$14,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,612.65 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 20,000$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,185.98 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 17,176$9,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,801.39 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 16,936$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,159.38 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 10,177$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 7,008$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.29 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 6,720$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.3 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 6,397$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.85 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 5,151$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.02 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 5,125$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.03 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 5,040$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 4,915$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.34 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 4,452$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.96 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 3,499$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.89 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 3,416$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 3,350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 3,349$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 3,305$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,584$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,522$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.14 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,484$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.84 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 2,200$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,167$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,098$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 1,722$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,701$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,484$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.75 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…dc6fbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,391$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 1,302$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,248$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.78 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,184$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,154$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,135$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,080$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.54 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,035$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.25 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 999.95$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 980.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.49 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 860.44$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.24 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 785.71$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 705.28$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 645.74$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.19 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 628.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 620$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…360cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 586.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 582.26$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.89 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 558.87$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.87 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 553.27$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Chicago White Sox | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago White Sox | 66c | 512.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.91 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 506.93$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.88 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 501.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 487.51$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 458$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 457.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 456.1$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 454.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 448.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 440$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 422$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 377.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.37 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 347.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 327.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 320.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.32 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 320$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 290$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 289.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 283.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 271.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 262.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a7…4fbabacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 251.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 227.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 227.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 224.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 224$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 219.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.