MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f33b6429abfb34d616028f494334af03c8d64383340a8324f0fb3d79458be50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 44c | 120,000$52,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,622.77 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 57c | 42,790$24,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,519.36 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 57c | 42,757$24,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,519.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 56c | 38,738$21,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,044.72 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 43c | 38,205$16,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,428.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 56c | 16,961$9,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.69 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 8,162$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,647.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 57c | 3,904$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.69 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed Under | 10c | 2,800$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 2,631$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 2,618$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 2,511$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Under | 2c | 1,637$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 57c | 1,592$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.62 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked Under | 4c | 1,288$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 56c | 1,130$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.24 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 1,018$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 56c | 956.2$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.73 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 53c | 873.96$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.34 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 56c | 794$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.39 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 600$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 56c | 543.48$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.13 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 55c | 542.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 55c | 502.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 22c | 487.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 56c | 469$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 56c | 372.82$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 55c | 363.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 32c | 359.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 55c | 311.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 56c | 294.04$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 56c | 271$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.92 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 5c | 249.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 6cpaid | +507.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 234.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 65c | 210.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Under | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 24c | 196.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 24c | 191.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 57c | 163.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 71c | 144.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 45c | 112.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Under | 34c | 110.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 46c | 101.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 47c | 100.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Under | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 94.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 57c | 92.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…9cc5backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 78c | 88.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 56c | 87.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 29c | 82.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 29c | 82.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Under | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 45c | 70.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 51c | 69.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 57c | 63.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 62c | 62.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Over | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 45c | 45.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 60c | 40.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Over | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 62c | 36.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Over | 62c | 35.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 55 | 81.8%45 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Over | 56c | 34.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a4…0182backed Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Over | 67c | 29.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 56c | 29.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 56c | 29.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 56c | 29.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…18b0backed Under | 44c | 28.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed9c…7854backed Under | 44c | 28.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Under | 44c | 27.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b5…abc1backed Under | 44c | 27.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…0366backed Under | 44c | 25.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…f426backed Under | 44c | 25.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Under | 44c | 24.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.