TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies14c14,431$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.082,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants58c13,462$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,684.981,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked San Francisco Giants75c9,832$7,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.330647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Colorado Rockies30c9,136$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78043554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed San Francisco Giants65c7,493$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.717651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants54c5,560$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.5475248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies38c5,295$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.8811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Colorado Rockies19c5,284$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.161,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Colorado Rockies20c4,918$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.6295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3f…e87cbacked Colorado Rockies46c4,900$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies25c4,781$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.351,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies5c4,671$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.436,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Colorado Rockies44c4,434$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.1227254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked San Francisco Giants75c4,425$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.254555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies24c4,053$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.458,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies45c3,997$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.531,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Colorado Rockies8c3,612$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9931848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed San Francisco Giants56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.4277647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked San Francisco Giants57c3,531$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.7661351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies45c3,267$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.86,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed San Francisco Giants55c2,666$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.691,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants73c2,405$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.7112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies9c2,165$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.036,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Colorado Rockies47c2,164$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.2720648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies23c2,125$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.551,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Colorado Rockies1c2,117$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.235852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Colorado Rockies46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9924639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies23c1,930$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.353,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Colorado Rockies30c1,816$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.844945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked San Francisco Giants70c1,512$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.432060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Colorado Rockies44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies25c1,446$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.384,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rockies43c1,400$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60261947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies28c1,399$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.818,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Colorado Rockies17c1,306$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22813225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Colorado Rockies44c1,140$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies43c1,088$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.841,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…24e8backed San Francisco Giants55c1,071$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Colorado Rockies20c1,045$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7336759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Colorado Rockies42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed San Francisco Giants55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45039846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies18c980.39$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.784,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Colorado Rockies12c978.64$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4485645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants55c964.99$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.792,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed San Francisco Giants55c947$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1592054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies10c919.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.869,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Colorado Rockies2c832.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.814754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Colorado Rockies42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33612448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies30c793.39$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants54c730.95$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.411,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Colorado Rockies46c724.15$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked San Francisco Giants56c716.07$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.072733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies44c707.33$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.722,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Colorado Rockies22c647.92$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5491252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Colorado Rockies18c619.1$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7834952.7%184 W · 165 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed San Francisco Giants54c611.11$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1194549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants57c609.02$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.912,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies45c602.99$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.782,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies45c599.96$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.781,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Colorado Rockies46c599.93$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9710145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Colorado Rockies17c548.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2939739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked San Francisco Giants55c540.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.9412253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies46c500$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.151,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed San Francisco Giants64c479.71$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.864946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants55c475.79$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.113,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed San Francisco Giants55c453.91$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.927957%45 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies44c447.97$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.972,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Colorado Rockies5c425.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed San Francisco Giants74c418.71$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2180159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Colorado Rockies46c381.61$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5421033.3%70 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants68c366.79$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.75,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked San Francisco Giants56c358$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5228147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed San Francisco Giants56c335.89$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7937052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies6c331.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.244,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Colorado Rockies46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8678…6199backed San Francisco Giants55c324.64$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.094252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed San Francisco Giants57c318.03$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.757447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Colorado Rockies6c314.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Colorado Rockies40c310.05$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0221841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Colorado Rockies42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed San Francisco Giants55c299.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9958652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed San Francisco Giants54c273.85$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.978644.2%38 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed San Francisco Giants55c270.53$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.748155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies45c269.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.41,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies7c269.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.633,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Colorado Rockies8c266.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.940447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Colorado Rockies40c241$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.794655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies45c230$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.41,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies45c230$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.41,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Colorado Rockies44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…6569backed Colorado Rockies24c224.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.13658.3%21 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed San Francisco Giants54c222.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4436246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Colorado Rockies46c222.37$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2451545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…31e8backed Colorado Rockies6c218.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…a377backed San Francisco Giants54c214.48$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.663751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies21c208$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.88,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Colorado Rockies34c205.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5812940.3%52 W · 77 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Colorado Rockies39c201.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8592046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies45c199.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.